2025年7月3日，国内黄金9995价格多少钱一克？

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by geopolitical risks, monetary policy expectations, and economic data performance, leading to uncertainty in gold's market outlook [3][4]. Group 1: Geopolitical Risks - The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has led to a rapid decline in geopolitical risk premiums, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3]. - Positive signals from tariff negotiations have increased market risk appetite, causing some funds to shift from safe-haven assets to riskier investments, which has pressured gold prices [3]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Expectations - The U.S. dollar index has seen a decline this week, yet gold prices have not benefited from this trend. Market pricing indicates a 20% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in July, rising to 75% in September [3]. - Despite high inflation data, the market maintains expectations for a loose monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, but this has not provided effective support for gold prices [3]. Group 3: Economic Data Performance - The unexpected weakness in the U.S. June ADP employment data, with a reduction of 33,000 jobs in the private sector, highlights concerns in the job market and strengthens bets on an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve [3]. - The market is closely watching the upcoming June non-farm payroll data, as its results will significantly impact gold price movements [3]. Group 4: Gold Price Outlook - The recent volatility in gold prices is characterized by a mix of bullish and bearish factors, with geopolitical risk easing, diverging monetary policy expectations, and mixed economic data contributing to uncertainty [4]. - In the short term, gold prices may remain volatile, with a focus on U.S. employment data and Federal Reserve policy direction. In the medium to long term, global economic uncertainty and central bank gold purchases may support gold's value as a safe-haven asset [4].