HASCO(SH:600741) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-07-03 10:23Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully expanded its external customer base since 2020, leading to steady growth in performance, supported by a rebound in sales from SAIC Group, indicating a positive outlook for continued performance improvement [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Growth - From 2020 to 2024, the company's revenue is projected to increase from 133.58 billion to 168.85 billion, while net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 5.4 billion to 6.69 billion, primarily due to successful external customer expansion [2]. - The revenue from external customers is expected to account for 62.2% of total revenue by 2024, up 17.5 percentage points from 2016 [2]. Customer Base and Partnerships - The company has established strong long-term partnerships with major domestic automakers, including Tesla Shanghai, BYD, Geely, Chery, and others, enhancing its customer resource coverage and structure [2]. SAIC Group's Recovery - SAIC Group, a key customer, faced sales pressure since 2020 but has begun to recover, with Q1 2025 sales reaching 945,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, marking a significant turnaround [3]. - The net profit for SAIC Group in Q1 2025 reached 3.02 billion, up 11.4% year-on-year, indicating potential for further sales and profit recovery that could benefit the company [3]. Dividend and Profit Retention - The company has maintained a strong dividend level, with an average annual dividend of 2.54 billion from 2020 to 2024 and a dividend payout ratio of 38.8% [3]. - The retained earnings have increased from 15.21 billion in 2015 to 40.07 billion in 2024, providing a solid foundation for strategic business development and further dividend expansion [3]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 176.5 billion, 186.2 billion, and 195.3 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.5%, 5.5%, and 4.9% respectively [4]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 6.9 billion, 7.4 billion, and 8.0 billion, with growth rates of 3.4%, 6.6%, and 8.4% respectively, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1% [4].