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中美AI差距有多大,AI竞争焦点在哪?《全球人工智能科研态势报告》全球首发
Tai Mei Ti A P P·2025-07-03 10:36

Core Insights - The report titled "Global AI Research Landscape Report (2015-2024)" analyzes the evolution of AI research over the past decade, highlighting the competitive landscape between China and the United States in AI talent and publication output [2][7]. Group 1: AI Research Trends - The report identifies four distinct phases in AI research: initial phase (2015-2016), rapid development phase (2017-2019), maturity peak phase (2020-2023), and adjustment phase (2024) [4][5]. - The number of AI papers published globally increased significantly, with a peak of 17,074 papers in 2023, representing nearly a fourfold increase from 2015 [5][6]. - The year 2024 is expected to see a decline in publication volume to 14,786 papers, indicating a shift towards more specialized and application-oriented research [6]. Group 2: Talent Distribution - China has emerged as the second-largest hub for AI talent, with a total of 52,000 researchers by 2024, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 28.7% since 2015 [8]. - The United States leads with over 63,000 AI researchers, with significant contributions from institutions like Stanford and MIT, as well as tech giants like Google and Microsoft [8][9]. - Chinese institutions such as the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Tsinghua University, and Peking University are leading in terms of publication output and talent concentration [7][9]. Group 3: Institutional and Corporate Performance - The Chinese Academy of Sciences published 4,639 top-tier papers, while Tsinghua University and Peking University followed closely, showcasing China's institutional strength in AI research [7][9]. - In contrast, U.S. companies like Google, Microsoft, and Meta have a significantly higher average publication output compared to their Chinese counterparts, reflecting a disparity in research investment and output capabilities [9][10]. - The top three U.S. companies published 5,896 papers, which is 1.8 times the output of the top three Chinese companies [9][10]. Group 4: Gender Disparity in AI Talent - The report highlights a significant gender imbalance in AI research, with women making up only 9.3% of AI talent in China compared to 20.1% in the U.S. [12][13]. - Chinese institutions like Tsinghua University and Peking University have low female representation in AI, at 7.88% and 9.18% respectively, compared to 25%-30% in top U.S. institutions [12][13]. Group 5: Future Trends in AI Research - The report indicates that "deep learning" has been the dominant focus in AI research over the past decade, but its growth rate is expected to slow down, suggesting a need for new approaches [14][15]. - Emerging technologies such as "Transformers" are gaining traction, particularly in natural language processing and multimodal AI, indicating a shift in research focus [15]. - The integration of traditional AI fields with deep learning techniques is becoming more prevalent, reflecting a trend towards collaborative and interdisciplinary research [15].