美国6月就业数据超预期 美联储7月降息可能性降低

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the robust performance of the U.S. job market in June, with an unexpected decline in the unemployment rate to 4.1% and an increase in non-farm payrolls by 147,000, surpassing the revised figure of 144,000 from May [1][2] - The strong employment data suggests stability in the labor market, which may lead the Federal Reserve to delay interest rate cuts and consider resuming them in September [1][2] - Despite the positive employment growth, the pace has slowed compared to previous months, indicating some fatigue in hiring activities, as employers have been hoarding workers since the pandemic due to difficulties in finding suitable labor [1] Group 2 - Multiple indicators, including initial jobless claims and the number of people receiving unemployment benefits, show signs of fatigue in the labor market, despite its strong performance in recent times [1] - The Federal Reserve has significantly tightened monetary policy to combat high inflation, which has had some impact on the job market [1] - Analysts believe that unless there are clear signs of economic recession in upcoming data, the Federal Reserve is more likely to consider rate cuts in September or later, rather than in July [2]