What's Next For Rigetti Stock?

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) has seen a significant stock price increase of 15% on July 2, contributing to a nearly 70% rise over the past four months, following Cantor Fitzgerald's initiation of coverage with an Overweight rating and a $15 price target, indicating a potential further increase of about 19% from current prices [2][3] Company Overview - Rigetti specializes in quantum computing, developing superconducting quantum processors and offering cloud-based Quantum Computing as a Service (QCaaS) [4] - The company is advancing its technology with the Ankaa-3, an 84-qubit system, and aims to transition to multi-chip modules, targeting machines with over 100 qubits and the 336-Qubit Lyra by 2026 [4] Financial Performance - Despite technological advancements, Rigetti is still in the research and development phase, with CEO Subodh Kulkarni stating that commercial demand is expected to be 3–5 years away, and widespread adoption could take up to a decade [5] - The company reported a 50% year-over-year revenue decline in Q1 2025, with revenue at $1.5 million and operating losses of $21.6 million [6] Competitive Landscape - Rigetti's end-to-end approach provides flexibility in chip design and cloud access, enhancing its competitive position against rivals like IBM, IonQ, and Google [7] - The partnership with Quanta is expected to bolster commercialization potential, although competition is intensifying with advancements from Google's Willow chip and Amazon's Quantum Embark program [7] Investment Considerations - Rigetti is well-funded with over $575 million in cash, supported by a $350 million equity capital raise and a $250 million partnership with Quanta, and has no debt [6] - The company's valuation is notably high, trading at 478 times the expected sales for 2025, indicating a speculative investment environment [6][8]