Industry Overview - Quantum computers are expected to solve problems that classical computers cannot or would take years to solve, utilizing quantum bits (qubits) in superposition to encode more data simultaneously [1] - The global quantum computing market for hardware and software is projected to reach between $90 billion and $170 billion by 2040, with a current valuation of approximately $1.4 billion in 2024, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 30% to 35% [2] Market Growth Potential - Significant growth in the quantum computing market is anticipated towards the backend of the forecast period, as the technology is still in its early stages and several challenges need to be addressed for practical applications [3] Patent Activity Insights - Monitoring patent activity is a valuable tool for investors in emerging technologies, as patents provide a temporary monopoly on inventions [5] - The top companies in quantum computing patent activity in 2024 include IBM with 117 patents (16% increase), Alphabet with 63 patents (13% increase), and Microsoft with 21 patents (45% decrease) [9][11] - The U.S. leads in quantum computing patents awarded in 2024, with IBM and Alphabet being the frontrunners, while Rigetti Computing holds the most patents among pure-play quantum companies [10][12]

Core Insights - Quantum computing stocks are entering a new phase with real contracts, tangible revenue visibility, and institutional interest, marking a shift from potential to commercial viability [1][5] - Significant funding and investor confidence are driving growth in quantum technology start-ups, with nearly $2.0 billion invested in 2024, a 50% increase from 2023 [2][5] Company Summaries - **IonQ**: Reported a 222% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, raising full-year revenue guidance to $106-$110 million, indicating strong commercial traction and technical progress [6][7] - **D-Wave**: Achieved $3.7 million in Q3 2025 revenues, doubling year-over-year, with improved operational efficiency and solid bookings, reflecting growth in enterprise use cases [9][10] - **Rigetti**: Reported $1.9 million in revenue for Q3 2025 but holds a strong cash position of approximately $600 million, providing a solid foundation for future growth and scaling efforts [11][12]

Core Insights - Quantum computing is emerging as a significant trend in 2025, with substantial stock price increases for companies in this sector [2][3] - Institutional investors have shown strong interest in quantum computing stocks, with notable net purchases during the third quarter of 2023 [4][5] - Despite the excitement, there are concerns about potential overvaluation and the maturity timeline of quantum computing technology [10][13] Institutional Investment Activity - Institutional investors collectively increased their holdings in quantum computing stocks significantly by September 30, 2023: - IonQ: 169.9 million shares (up 27.4% from June 30) - Rigetti Computing: 164.1 million shares (up 31.8% from June 30) - D-Wave Quantum: 182.3 million shares (up 16.1% from June 30) - Quantum Computing Inc.: 90.2 million shares (up 61.7% from June 30) [5] - The buying activity indicates a strong belief in the growth potential of quantum computing, despite the risks associated with high valuations [6][10] Market Performance and Growth Potential - Quantum computing stocks have experienced remarkable price increases over the past year, with IonQ up 69%, Rigetti Computing up 1,720%, D-Wave Quantum up 1,300%, and Quantum Computing Inc. up 299% [2] - The potential applications of quantum computing, such as enhancing AI algorithms and improving drug trial success rates, contribute to its attractiveness [7] - Projections suggest that quantum computing could generate up to $850 billion in global economic value by 2040, with all four mentioned stocks expected to achieve triple-digit sales growth by 2026 [9] Valuation Concerns - Historical trends indicate that new technologies often face bubble-bursting events, raising concerns about the sustainability of current stock prices in the quantum computing sector [12][13] - Current price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for quantum computing stocks are considered to be in bubble territory, with estimates suggesting they will not align with future sales growth [16] - The presence of established tech giants like Microsoft and Alphabet developing their own quantum technologies may threaten the competitive advantage of pure-play quantum computing stocks [17]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) is in the early stages of its commercial journey but is gaining traction with stronger demand for its on-premises quantum computers and expanding government and academic relationships [1] - The company reported a year-over-year revenue dip, but new orders and contracts, including two Novera system orders and a three-year contract with the Air Force Research Laboratory, provide predictability for future revenue [1][7] - Rigetti's balance sheet shows a strong position with $446.9 million in cash and no debt, allowing continued investment in R&D [2][7] Revenue and Contracts - Revenue decreased year-over-year, but management highlighted increased demand for quantum computing solutions [1] - The new contracts with the Air Force and Novera system orders are expected to contribute to revenue through 2026, indicating institutional confidence in Rigetti's technology [1][7] Technology Roadmap - Rigetti's updated technology roadmap includes ambitious targets of a 150-plus qubit system by 2026 and a 1,000-plus qubit system by 2027, with improved fidelity levels [3] - The structured plan for scaling the platform reflects a clearer direction for the company moving forward [3] Market Performance - Rigetti's shares have increased by 66.8% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 2.1% [6] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 22.4, which is above the industry average, indicating a premium valuation [9] Future Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 earnings suggests a substantial 75% increase compared to the previous year [10]

Key Points Quantum Computing Inc. uses photonic qubits and generated $384,000 in third-quarter sales. Rigetti employs superconducting qubits, and the company produced $1.9 million in Q3 revenue. 10 stocks we like better than Rigetti Computing › Many businesses are battling for supremacy in the rapidly evolving field of quantum computing. Two promising pure plays in the space are Quantum Computing Inc. (NASDAQ: QUBT), which also refers to itself as QCi, and Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI). Both co ...

Key Points Rigetti stock costs $25 today, but could be worth $51 a year from now. If it keeps doubling at that rate, $2,500 invested in Rigetti today could become $10,000 in two years. Rigetti stock is already very expensive today, however, and entirely unprofitable. 10 stocks we like better than Rigetti Computing › Are you looking for a quick way to double your money in the stock market? Would it feel good to be able to say "I own $10,000 in a popular quantum computing stock?" Then, according t ...

Key Takeaways RGTI slides as softer revenues and losses drive the steepest monthly drop among key quantum peers.RGTI highlights government contracts, global partnerships and hardware advances as long-term supports.RGTI targets larger, higher-fidelity systems through 2027, while near-term revenue visibility stays limited.Rigetti Computing (RGTI) has come under renewed pressure, with shares sliding 41% over the past month as investors digest a mix of progress and persistent challenges. The company’s latest ea ...

Key Points Rigetti Computing has been one of the most popular quantum computing stocks over the last year. While shares of Rigetti posted big gains over the last 12 months, the stock appears to be entering a downward spiral. Rigetti generates little revenue and does not have a near-term path to turn the operation around. 10 stocks we like better than Rigetti Computing › When it comes to investing in quantum computing stocks, investors have taken a liking to pure plays such as IonQ, D-Wave Quantum ...

Rigetti Computing's ( RGTI ) Q3 earnings release strengthened my conviction because of the company's accelerated roadmap, commercial wins, and strategic positioning. The company achieved several important wins during the quarter, which built a solid foundation on the wayComing from an IT background, I have dived into the U.S. stock market seven years ago by managing portfolio of my family. Starting managing real money has been challenging for the first time, but long hours of mastering fundamental analysis ...

This quantum computing pioneer's latest financial results have little bearing on what's to come.Rigetti Computing's (RGTI +4.13%) shares were up more than 200% year to date just weeks ago. However, since early October, the stock has plunged over 50%. The company's disappointing third-quarter results accelerated the sell-off.Although Rigetti beat analysts' earnings estimates, the quantum computing company fell short of Wall Street's revenue expectations. That revenue miss doesn't matter, but Rigetti's $600 m ...