This quantum computing stock delivered massive gains but faces serious risks. Find out what Wall Street may be missing next.Rigetti Computing (RGTI +3.62%) is one of the most controversial quantum stocks, blending massive historical gains with shrinking revenue and dilution risk. This video breaks down the upside, the red flags, and what needs to go right for long-term investors.Stock prices used were the market prices of Jan. 9, 2026. The video was published on Jan. 12, 2026. ...

Industry Overview - Quantum computing is still in the experimental phase, with significant challenges such as error-proneness and stability of qubits needing to be addressed [2][3] - Companies are making progress, with Nvidia's CEO indicating that quantum computing is nearing an inflection point for solving practical problems [4] D-Wave Quantum - D-Wave is recognized as a leader in quantum annealing, focusing on finding optimal solutions for specific problems rather than solving complex mathematical problems [6] - The company has a market cap of $10 billion, with a current price of $28.83 and a gross margin of 82.82% [8] - D-Wave has over 100 paying customers and is experiencing growth in revenue and bookings, while also moving into gate-based quantum computing [8][9] - The acquisition of Quantum Circuits aims to develop an error-correcting, gate-based system [9] Rigetti Computing - Rigetti is pursuing a universal gate-based quantum system, which is expected to solve more complex computational problems [10] - The company has a market cap of $8.5 billion, with a current price of $25.62, but has a significantly negative gross margin of -6849.48% [11][12] - Rigetti's systems are reported to be over 1,000 times faster than competitors, but it lags in accuracy, achieving only 99.5% 2-gate fidelity compared to IonQ's 99.99% [12] - The company has minimal revenue and faced setbacks, including not advancing in the DARPA Quantum Benchmarking Initiative and delaying the availability of its new 108-qubit machine due to fidelity issues [13][15] Comparative Analysis - D-Wave is preferred for its established niche in quantum annealing and its strategic move towards gate-based systems, which could leverage its existing business [14] - Rigetti's challenges with accuracy and setbacks in key programs highlight its competitive disadvantages [15]

Key Takeaways Q4 earnings will reveal which quantum stocks are converting advanced technology into real revenue traction.D-Wave reported record bookings, but deferred contracts mean Q4 revenue growth is expected to remain gradual.IONQ posted 222% Q3 revenue growth and expects Q4 to beat Q3 after raising full-year guidance.With the fourth-quarter 2025 earnings season about to start, investors are zeroing in on three pure-play quantum computing stocks poised to deliver solid results - D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) , ...

Rosenblatt Securities launched coverage of Rigetti Computing (RGTI) with a “Buy” rating and an ambitious $40 price target. The target implies a potential of around 60% from current levels as Wall Street grows increasingly bullish on quantum computing's commercial potential. Analyst John McPeake highlighted the company's modular approach to scaling quantum processors and its internal fabrication capabilities as key competitive advantages in the rapidly evolving sector. More News from Barchart The optim ...

Core Insights - Quantum computing stocks have seen significant price increases, with some rising by up to 5,400% in 2024, attracting investor interest despite skepticism from industry insiders [2][3][10] - The global addressable market for quantum computing is projected to reach $1 trillion by 2035, indicating substantial long-term growth potential [3] - High-profile partnerships with major companies like Amazon and Microsoft are enhancing the visibility and credibility of quantum computing firms [5][6] Company Performance - Quantum computing companies such as IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. are expected to experience triple-digit annual sales growth, with Rigetti's revenue projected to increase from less than $8 million in 2025 to $152 million by 2029 [9] - D-Wave Quantum's revenue is anticipated to rise from less than $26 million in 2025 to $219 million by 2029, showcasing the growth trajectory of these firms [9] Insider Activity - Over the past three years, insiders of quantum computing companies have sold approximately $840 million more in stock than they have purchased, raising concerns about the companies' future prospects [12][13] - Notably, there has been minimal insider buying activity, with Quantum Computing Inc. and Rigetti Computing showing no insider purchases during this period, which may signal a lack of confidence in the stock's future performance [16][17] Market Dynamics - The surge in quantum computing stocks in 2025 was partly fueled by a report from JPMorgan Chase outlining a $1.5 trillion initiative that includes quantum computing as a critical area for investment [7][8] - Despite the excitement surrounding quantum computing, the high price-to-sales ratios of these stocks suggest they may be overvalued, indicating potential market corrections in the future [17][18]

Rigetti Computing (NasdaqCM:RGTI) FY Conference January 13, 2026 12:45 PM ET Company ParticipantsSubodh Kulkarni - President and CEOConference Call ParticipantsQuinn Bolton - Senior AnalystQuinn BoltonOkay. Thank you, everybody. Welcome to Needham's 20th Annual Growth Conference. My name is Quinn Bolton. I'm the semiconductor and quantum computing analyst for Needham. It's my pleasure to host this fireside chat with Rigetti Computing. Founded in 2013 and headquartered in Berkeley, California, Rigetti is a p ...

Key Takeaways RGTI pushed 108-qubit Cepheus-1 general availability to around late Q1 2026 to optimize performance.RGTI has shown 99% median two-qubit fidelity on 108 qubits and higher results on 9- and 36-qubit systems.RGTI is refining chiplet couplers on its modular design, favoring reliability over rushing commercialization.Rigetti Computing’s (RGTI) latest update on its 108-qubit Cepheus-1-108Q system reflects a deliberate shift toward performance discipline rather than a fundamental change in strategy. ...

Investor Presentation January 2026 Cautionary Notes Forward Looking Statements: Certain statements in this presentation may be considered forward-looking statements, including statements with respect to the Company's outlook and expectations, including expectations with respect to a plan to deliver 108Q chiplet-based system at 99.5% median 2Q gate fidelity around the end of Q1 2026 and to reach 1,000+Q at 99.9% median 2Q median fidelity at <50 ns gate speed in 3-5 years to enable quantum advantage; an antic ...

Core Insights - AST SpaceMobile is positioned to experience significant revenue growth, with projections indicating a 1,200% increase in sales to $57.3 million in 2025, followed by a further 311% growth to $235.6 million in 2026 [4] - The company's strategy of partnering with over 50 global mobile network providers, covering nearly 3 billion cellular subscribers, is expected to facilitate a rapid increase in revenue without the need to build a competing network [2] - AST SpaceMobile's BlueBird satellites aim to provide 4G and 5G services using existing smartphone technology, offering a seamless transition for wireless operators and potentially revolutionizing global broadband coverage [3] Group 1: Company Overview - AST SpaceMobile's current valuation stands at $33.3 billion, which raises concerns about the potential for error in its high-growth projections [7] - The company has successfully secured partnerships with major wireless operators, which is crucial for its growth strategy [2] Group 2: Market Context - The stock market has seen substantial gains, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite increasing by 45%, 78%, and 122% respectively from the beginning of 2023 to the end of 2025 [6] - The overall market sentiment is driven by the performance of growth stocks and emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence and quantum computing [6]

Company Overview - Rigetti Computing specializes in quantum computing hardware and cloud-based quantum services, utilizing proprietary superconducting technology to deliver scalable quantum solutions [7] - The company generates revenue through integrated solutions that allow clients to access quantum computing resources on various cloud infrastructures [1] Recent Transaction - On January 2, 2026, Dr. Alissa Fitzgerald, a Board member, sold 59,316 shares of Rigetti Computing for approximately $1.3 million, at a weighted average price of $22.41 per share [5][6] - This sale reduced her direct ownership by 63.1%, leaving her with 34,675 shares, which is about 9.3% of her holdings as of February 2024 [3][5] Historical Context - The recent sale size is more than double Dr. Fitzgerald's recent median sell size of 25,000 shares and is the largest since June 2025 [4] - Dr. Fitzgerald's holdings have declined by over 90% since February 2024, indicating a sustained pattern of depletion [5][3] Market Performance - Rigetti's stock has appreciated over 150% in the past year, driven by investor interest in the quantum computing sector [9] - Despite this growth, the company reported sales of only $1.9 million in the third quarter of the previous year, down from $2.4 million in 2024 [10] Future Outlook - The company faces challenges as quantum computing is still in its infancy, with technical hurdles such as high calculation error rates hindering mass adoption [10] - Rigetti missed the release of its new Cepheus-1-108Q system, which has been delayed to the end of Q1 2026 [10]