Core Viewpoint - The concept of "anti-involution" is gaining traction in the market, referring to industries that are moving away from low-price competition and finding new growth paths [1] Group 1: New Energy Sector - The new energy sector, including solar, wind, and lithium batteries, has experienced intense price wars, particularly in solar materials where prices dropped from 300,000 to 80,000, severely impacting profits [3] - Current policies are guiding capacity reduction, and leading companies are focusing on technological innovation, such as TOPCon solar cells and solid-state electrolytes for lithium batteries, to differentiate themselves rather than competing solely on price [3] Group 2: Traditional Cyclical Industries - Traditional cyclical industries like steel, cement, and coal are also undergoing transformation, moving from overcapacity to more stable pricing through supply-side reforms and industry self-discipline [3] - For instance, coal prices surged last year, prompting companies to prioritize cash flow and dividends instead of blindly expanding production, signaling a shift towards orderly competition [3] Group 3: Identifying Potential Stocks - A recent screening identified 49 potential stocks in sectors like power equipment, building materials, and steel, based on criteria such as institutional interest, significant profit declines, and expected profit rebounds [4] - Examples include a lithium battery materials company whose stock fell from 80 to 30 due to overcapacity but is now projected to see a 60% profit increase this year due to new capacity and technological upgrades [4] Group 4: Investment Logic - The investment logic behind "anti-involution" is shifting from quantity growth to quality growth, emphasizing technology, efficiency, and differentiation rather than scale and price [5] - The identified stocks, while currently undervalued, show signs of performance reversal, representing a "turnaround from adversity" type of investment opportunity [5] - The transition from chaotic competition to orderly development in an industry presents revaluation opportunities for leading companies, with the potential for these 49 stocks to shine if the industry logic materializes [5]
帮主郑重解局:反内卷概念火了!这两大板块正在打破价格战,49只潜力股藏着机会
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-03 21:46