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特朗普电动车税补倒计时 法巴银行:Rivian(RIVN.US)与Lucid(LCID.US)或迎增长催化剂
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-07-03 23:45

Group 1 - BNP Paribas indicates that electric vehicle manufacturers Rivian Automotive and Lucid Group will benefit from the tax reform spending bill proposed by former President Donald Trump, which has passed the Senate and is currently in the House [1] - The bill will terminate the $7,500 electric vehicle consumer tax credit after September 30, leading to a potential increase in market share for Rivian, Lucid, and Tesla as competition from traditional automakers may weaken [1][2] - Analysts expect that the expansion pace of traditional automakers like General Motors, Ford, and Hyundai will slow down due to declining government subsidies and softening consumer demand, which could favor pure electric brands [1][2] Group 2 - Rivian and Lucid's second-quarter delivery numbers fell short of expectations, with Rivian delivering 10,661 vehicles (2.3% below analyst estimates) and Lucid delivering 3,309 vehicles (4% below expectations) [2] - BNP Paribas forecasts a rebound in deliveries in the third quarter as consumers rush to purchase vehicles before the tax credit expiration [2] - The analyst rates Rivian as "outperform" and Lucid as "underperform," suggesting a greater potential benefit for Rivian due to its production capabilities compared to Lucid's slower ramp-up [3]