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【大涨解读】电力:全球高温推动用电量大增,龙头中报业绩预喜,AI数据中心也是耗电大户
Xuan Gu Bao·2025-07-04 02:58

Market Performance - The electricity sector experienced a significant surge on July 4, with Huayin Power achieving three consecutive trading limits within four days, alongside other companies like Shaoneng Co., Shenzhen Nande A, and New Zhonggang hitting their trading limits [1][2]. Events - A high-temperature weather event is expected to peak on July 4-5, with many regions facing unprecedented heat levels. In Europe, temperatures in Germany approached 40 degrees Celsius, nearing historical records, while France, Italy, and Belgium also faced extreme heat [3]. - Huayin Power announced an interim profit forecast, expecting a year-on-year increase in net profit of 175 million to 215 million yuan [4]. - The U.S. government is preparing a series of executive orders to support electricity projects to meet the growing energy demands of the AI industry, which is under pressure due to rapid growth [4]. Institutional Insights - Without considering the adverse effects of the global trade environment, it is projected that China's total electricity consumption will reach 10.4 trillion kilowatt-hours by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of around 6%. The maximum electricity load is expected to be approximately 1.55 billion kilowatts [5]. - High temperatures are driving a rapid increase in electricity load from commercial and residential air conditioning, with some provinces seeing summer cooling loads account for 40%-50% of the maximum electricity load. The integration of high proportions of renewable energy and the rigid growth of electricity demand during peak periods may lead to significant load imbalances [6]. - From 2024 to 2029, the growth rate of electricity demand in the U.S. is expected to exceed the 2022 forecast by more than five times, with AI data centers potentially increasing their electricity demand by over 30 times by 2035 [6].