6月美国就业数据超预期强劲，证明鲍威尔判断的正确性

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the resilience of the U.S. labor market, with June non-farm payrolls exceeding expectations for the fourth consecutive month, leading to a decrease in the unemployment rate [2] - The U.S. added 147,000 non-farm jobs in June, surpassing the expected 106,000, with upward revisions of 16,000 jobs for April and May combined [2] - The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, better than the expected 4.3% and previous value of 4.2%, indicating a slight downward trend in the unemployment rate over the first half of the year [2] Group 2 - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will likely cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points in the September meeting, while maintaining the current rates in July [2] - Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has questioned the Federal Reserve's judgment on interest rates, suggesting that the current overnight rates are too high based on the two-year Treasury yield [3] - The Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate is currently between 4.25% and 4.5%, while the two-year Treasury yield stands at approximately 3.76% [3] Group 3 - Trump has called for an investigation into Fed Chair Powell, accusing him of significant violations related to the Fed's headquarters renovation project and suggesting that he should resign [4][5] - Powell has indicated that while there are many potential paths for monetary policy, the current economic data does not necessitate an immediate rate cut, emphasizing the strength of the economy [5] - The ongoing trade war and technological advancements are influencing the U.S. economy, with increased labor productivity potentially leading to low inflation and high growth [6]