短期比特币还会跌，但不是因为8万枚远古币

Group 1 - Bitcoin experienced a significant drop of 3000 points amidst a record high in the US stock market, influenced by the activation of a dormant Bitcoin whale address holding at least 80,009 BTC [2] - The short-term outlook suggests that Bitcoin may continue to decline, potentially falling below the 100,000 mark, with a recovery expected in one to two months [2] - The primary driver of Bitcoin's price movement is market liquidity, as it is highly sensitive to liquidity changes, often leading the broader market trends [2] Group 2 - The recently signed "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" on July 4, which raises the debt ceiling from $4 trillion to $5 trillion, is expected to tighten market liquidity in the short term due to increased bond issuance by the US Treasury [4] - Although the act may provide long-term benefits to the capital market through fiscal expansion, it will create short-term pressure on the cryptocurrency market [4] - A significant market rally for cryptocurrencies may not occur until late August to September, indicating a cautious approach to buying in the coming months [4] Group 3 - Even if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates in the coming months, a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan could lead to a global asset sell-off, causing short-term declines in the market [6] - The concept of "buy the rumor, sell the news" is highlighted, where positive expectations may lead to price increases before a significant announcement, followed by a potential drop due to liquidity disturbances [6] - The market dynamics suggest that substantial positive news can lead to short-term volatility, emphasizing the need for careful monitoring of liquidity conditions [6]