全乱了！中美成交后，东盟两国先妥协，但印度揭竿而起要打一场？

Group 1 - The US is shifting its focus from China to traditional allies like Japan, South Korea, and Europe in the ongoing tariff war, with India unexpectedly taking the lead in retaliating against US economic policies [1][3] - India has announced plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on certain US products, signaling a strong response to what it perceives as US economic bullying [3] - The US is considering varying tariff rates from 10% to 70% based on the trade scale with each country, indicating a more calculated approach compared to previous tariff battles with China [3][5] Group 2 - Smaller countries like Vietnam and Cambodia are likely to suffer more from US tariffs, as their economies heavily depend on exports to the US, while larger economies like Japan and India can negotiate more effectively [5] - The internal political landscape in the US is tumultuous, with opposition from various factions against Trump's "America First" policies, complicating the administration's approach to international trade [5][7] - India is strategically improving relations with China and enhancing cooperation with BRICS nations while using its purchases of US oil and weapons as leverage in negotiations [7] Group 3 - Recent developments indicate a slight easing of tensions between the US and China, with both countries engaging in dialogue and reducing some trade restrictions, although fundamental issues remain [8] - The US's inability to effectively challenge China has led it to target other nations, potentially pushing these countries closer to China and altering the dynamics of international trade relationships [9] - The ongoing tariff conflict is expected to produce further dramatic developments, with unpredictable outcomes as countries navigate their responses to US policies [9]