Is Coca-Cola Stock a Long-Term Buy?

Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola is considered an evergreen investment due to its consistent growth and long-term reliability, despite challenges in the beverage market [1][12] Group 1: Company Strengths - Coca-Cola has diversified its product portfolio beyond soda to include bottled water, tea, fruit juices, sports drinks, energy drinks, coffee, and alcoholic beverages, which helps mitigate declining soda consumption [3] - The company's capital-light business model, focusing on selling concentrates and syrups while bottling partners handle production, allows for consistent profits and insulation from inflation and regional macro challenges [4] - From 1984 to 2024, Coca-Cola achieved a revenue and split-adjusted EPS CAGR of 5% and 6%, respectively, maintaining stable growth through five global recessions and being a Dividend King with 63 consecutive years of dividend increases [5] - Analysts project Coca-Cola's revenue and EPS to grow at a CAGR of 5% and 11% from 2024 to 2027, driven by expansion in emerging markets, wellness-oriented brands, strategic acquisitions, and AI-driven efficiencies [6][7] Group 2: Company Weaknesses - Growth is slowing in developed markets like the U.S. and Europe, where competition from healthier and private label beverages is increasing, necessitating greater investment in emerging markets [8] - Ongoing trade wars and elevated tariffs, particularly on aluminum for cans, could lead to price increases from bottlers, potentially impacting shipments and margins during economic downturns [9] - Compared to PepsiCo, Coca-Cola's valuation at 24 times forward earnings appears less attractive, especially as PepsiCo offers a higher forward dividend yield of 4.3% [10] - Coca-Cola has underperformed the S&P 500 over the past 40 years, which has generated a total return of 3,460%, indicating that Coca-Cola may not be the best performer during bull markets [11]