证券研究报告 乳制品：乳饮料&营养品&深加工业务表现亮眼 必选消费 海外看中国：消费恢复呈结构性分化 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 04 日│中国内地 动态点评 我们梳理了海外必选消费品公司中国区业务的表现：部分高端消费出现回暖 迹象，中档及大众价格带的改善尚不显著；外资品牌受损于弱需求环境下"去 品牌化"的行业趋势及对渠道变革相对滞后的反应速度，整体表现承压。部 分外资品牌在中国市场的复苏进度或落后于本土品牌，因此未必能作为行业 复苏的先行指标，多数公司在中国市场仍面临消费偏弱、渠道变革、竞争加 剧及库存压力等挑战，而实现增长的企业主要依靠自身品牌与渠道的 alpha。 烈酒：外部环境承压，中国区业务表现有所分化 海外烈酒龙头主要是高端洋酒品牌，多数公司中国区营收占比不高。受需求 萎缩和消费场景承压的影响，中国白酒市场目前仍处于深度调整期，与此相 对应，25 年至今海外烈酒巨头在中国市场业绩表现普遍承压，且下半年压 力较上半年多有所加剧。其中保乐力加和帝亚吉欧中国区业务均有拖累；人 头马君度销售额企稳（扣除春节效应），内部呈现结构分化。展望 26 年， 帝亚吉欧管理层整体保持谨慎态度，其管理层预计筑底过程 ...

Hi, I'm David Harrell, editor of the Morning Star Dividend Investor Newsletter. In this monthly series, we take a look at the dividend prospects of three stocks that are popular with income investors. Coca-Cola, which receives a wide moat rating from Morning Star Equity Analysts, is a dividend king, having raised its per share dividend every year for the past 63 years.The stock currently yields 2.8% 8% in line with its 5-year average and down from 3.1% a year ago due to share price appreciation with 3.9% an ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the effectiveness of investing in dividend growth stocks and reinvesting dividends as a strategy for long-term wealth growth [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The individual investor has explored various investment styles over 25 years, concluding that dividend growth stocks are particularly beneficial for wealth accumulation [1] - The investor operates a blog focused on S&P Dividend Aristocrats and other dividend growth stocks, indicating a commitment to sharing knowledge in this niche [1] Group 2: Investment Experience - The investor has experience with a diverse range of investment vehicles, including stocks, options, ETFs, treasury notes, and mutual funds, showcasing a broad understanding of the market [1]

Group 1: Coca-Cola Performance - Coca-Cola outperformed Domino's Pizza in the previous year, with Coca-Cola's stock showing a slight increase while Domino's remained nearly flat [3][5] - Coca-Cola's market cap is $322 billion, with a current price of $74.86 and a gross margin of 61.55% [6][8] - The company reported a 5% year-over-year sales increase in the most recent quarter, with an improvement in comparable operating margin from 30.7% to 31.9% [8] Group 2: Dividend and Stability - Coca-Cola is recognized as a Dividend King, having raised its dividend for 63 consecutive years, with a current yield of approximately 2.9% [9] - The company's stability and local production have been positively received by the market, especially in the context of rising tariffs [5][7] Group 3: Domino's Pizza Performance - Domino's Pizza has a market cap of $14 billion, with a current price of $410.28 and a gross margin of 39.81% [10] - The company reported mid-single-digit sales growth, with global retail sales increasing by 6.3% year-over-year in the most recent quarter [10][11] - Despite its growth, the market has not rewarded Domino's as much as Coca-Cola, possibly due to ongoing pressures in the high-inflation environment [11] Group 4: Future Outlook - The competition for 2026 is anticipated to be close, with some analysts suggesting that Domino's may have an edge due to its resilience and potential for growth [12] - Coca-Cola is trading at a slightly lower price-to-earnings ratio of 23 compared to Domino's 24, which may influence investor decisions [11]

Core Insights - Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are offering contracts on which companies will run ads during Super Bowl 60, scheduled for February 8, 2024, in Santa Clara, California [2] - The contracts allow users to trade on specific companies like Salesforce, Verizon, and Coca-Cola securing ad spots during the event [2] - Concerns have arisen regarding potential insider trading, as many employees may have advance knowledge of their company's advertising plans [4] Summary by Category Prediction Market Development - Kalshi and Polymarket have introduced contracts for Super Bowl ad placements, allowing users to engage in trading based on predictions [2] - Polymarket offers a simple "Yes/No" wager structure, while Kalshi provides more complex predictions involving celebrity appearances in ads [3] - Contracts are priced between $0 and $1, with payouts of $1 for winning contracts, minus fees [3] Regulatory Concerns - The rise of prediction markets for Super Bowl ads raises significant regulatory challenges, particularly regarding insider trading [5] - Current laws prohibit insider trading on these markets, but experts doubt the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's ability to effectively regulate them [4] - The situation highlights the broader challenges regulators face in adapting to the rapid evolution of digital markets [6]

Core Viewpoint - Warren Buffett expresses optimism about stock market declines, viewing them as opportunities for long-term investment rather than reasons for panic [2][10]. Group 1: Market Reaction - The stock market was projected to drop by approximately 3% due to fears surrounding the coronavirus pandemic [1]. - Buffett indicates that he prefers to buy stocks when prices are lower, likening it to buying food at a discount [2][9]. - He notes that historical market declines have often presented good buying opportunities, suggesting that investors should not be deterred by short-term fluctuations [10][12]. Group 2: Long-term Investment Perspective - Buffett emphasizes that stocks should be viewed as businesses, and investors should focus on the long-term outlook rather than daily market movements [5][14]. - He asserts that the 10 to 30-year outlook for American businesses remains unchanged despite current market conditions [5][14]. - The company plans to continue buying stocks as long-term investments, reinforcing the idea that short-term market news should not dictate investment decisions [11][14].

Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola is highlighted as a strong dividend stock with a long history of increasing dividends, making it a suitable investment for those seeking passive income and stability during market volatility [2][8]. Company Overview - Coca-Cola has maintained consistent growth in unit case volume over the last decade, with the only decline occurring during the pandemic in 2020 [4]. - The company has achieved a 13% annualized organic revenue growth since 2015, primarily driven by higher price/mix, indicating strong pricing power [4]. Financial Performance - Coca-Cola's adjusted free cash flow grew by 11% to nearly $11 billion in 2024, with projections of reaching $13.1 billion by 2027 on $52 billion of adjusted revenue [7]. - The company has a market capitalization of $322 billion and a current price of $74.81, with a gross margin of 61.55% [6][7]. Dividend History - Coca-Cola has increased its dividend for 63 consecutive years, qualifying it as a Dividend King [8]. - In 2024, the company paid out 73% of its adjusted free cash flow in dividends, consistent with its historical payout range [8]. - The dividend has increased by 50% over the last decade, with a current quarterly payment of $0.51, resulting in a dividend yield of 2.79%, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average [9]. Growth and Risks - The company's pricing power, global distribution, and focus on high-margin products are expected to sustain dividend growth [10]. - A key risk to monitor is potential shifts in consumer preferences, particularly regarding sugary beverages, which could impact future sales volume and dividend increases [11]. Investment Outlook - Analysts project about 6% annualized earnings growth for Coca-Cola, suggesting it may not outperform the S&P 500 but remains a solid choice for income-focused investors [12].

Bottom Line Up Front: In a single metaphor tucked into his 1994 Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) (BRK.A) shareholder letter, then-CEO Warren Buffett explained a core idea that still separates long-term capital builders from short-term speculators: owning a piece of something extraordinary beats owning all of something mediocre. When Buffett wrote that it is “far better to own a significant portion of the Hope Diamond than 100% of a rhinestone,” he wasn’t just talking about portfolio construction: he was explainin ...

Core Insights - Coca-Cola India is enhancing its commitment to local ecosystems during Medaram Jatara 2026, Asia's largest tribal congregation, through hydration access, retailer enablement, and community-led initiatives [1][4] - The company is collaborating with local retailers and vendors to support livelihoods and create economic opportunities while ensuring beverage availability for visitors [3][4] Group 1: Community Engagement and Support - Coca-Cola India, along with Hindustan Coca-Cola Beverages Pvt. Ltd., is providing cooling infrastructure and on-ground assistance to local outlets and vendors, facilitating efficient service for pilgrims [2] - The company has set up mobile hydration carts, temporary stalls, and shaded rest areas to enhance visitor comfort during the event [2] Group 2: Economic Impact - The Medaram Jatara is recognized as a significant economic driver for the region, with support from the Telangana government enabling Coca-Cola to mobilize its retail ecosystem effectively [3] - The initiatives are aimed at driving local employment, strengthening retail businesses, and contributing to socio-economic growth beyond the festival [3] Group 3: Environmental Initiatives - Coca-Cola India's foundation, Anandana, is collaborating with local authorities on the MaidaanSaaf initiative, which focuses on waste collection and responsible disposal [4] - The initiative promotes the use of recycled plastic waste for public utility infrastructure, such as changing rooms and benches, enhancing safety and convenience for visitors [4]

The winners of Product of the Year 2026 were unveiled during a glamorous ceremony in London’s Quaglino’s hosted by broadcaster and writer, Claudia Winkleman. Widely known for celebrating the most innovative products on the UK market as voted for by 8,000 consumers, this is the UK’s largest consumer-voted award for product innovation – and one of the hottest tickets in the FMCG events calendar.From the category-defining to the everyday essentials that consumers rely on, and spanning food and drink, home, per ...