2025年6月经济数据：PMI上升，央行或加力稳增长

Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June 2025 is at 49.7%, indicating a slight improvement of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, but still within a downward trend [1] - The production and new orders indices are at 51.0% and 50.2%, respectively, showing increases of 0.3 and 0.4 percentage points, suggesting accelerated production and improved demand [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.5%, up 0.2 percentage points, indicating continued expansion above the critical point [1] Group 2 - The construction industry business activity index is at 52.8%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points, reflecting a recovery in the sector [1] - The service industry business activity index is at 50.1%, indicating stable conditions, with some sectors experiencing rapid growth while others show weakened activity [1] - The comprehensive PMI output index is at 50.7%, up 0.3 percentage points, suggesting accelerated expansion in production and business activities [1] Group 3 - The central bank's monetary policy committee suggests increasing regulatory intensity and maintaining ample liquidity to support key sectors [1] - The central bank announced a 300 billion MLF operation on June 25, with a net injection of 118 billion yuan, continuing excess renewals for four consecutive months [1] - The monetary policy in the second half of the year is expected to focus on expanding domestic demand and stabilizing growth, with MLF likely to continue increasing [1]