Group 1 - Goldman Sachs maintains its Q4 2025 Brent crude oil price forecast at $59 per barrel and $56 per barrel for 2026, citing supply shortfalls, particularly from Russia, and reduced idle capacity as key factors [1] - The firm highlights upward risks to oil demand, projecting an increase of 600,000 barrels per day in global oil consumption in 2025 and 1 million barrels per day in 2026, driven by strong demand in China, resilient global economic activity, and further depreciation of the dollar [1] - While Goldman Sachs views the risks to the 2025 price forecast as balanced, it identifies downside risks for 2026, including the potential lifting of a second round of production cuts by OPEC+ amounting to 1.65 million barrels per day and a rising probability of a U.S. economic recession, estimated at 30% by analysts [1]
高盛:将第四季度布油价格预期维持在每桶59美元