Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the sudden shift in U.S. trade policy under Trump, where the U.S. plans to impose tariffs on 170 countries, excluding China, highlighting the implications for global trade dynamics and the U.S. fiscal situation [1][10][31]. Group 1: U.S. Trade Policy Changes - Starting July 4, the U.S. will issue daily tax bills to 10 countries, marking a significant departure from previous negotiation efforts [3][5]. - The tariffs will be substantial, with the EU facing a 20% tariff, India 26%, and Japan 24%, indicating that even traditional allies are not exempt [4][7]. - The U.S. Customs is hiring thousands of new tariff inspectors and implementing blockchain technology to prevent tax evasion, signaling a serious commitment to this new tax regime [7][14]. Group 2: Financial Motivations Behind Tariffs - The U.S. government is facing a significant fiscal shortfall, with a national debt exceeding $30 trillion, prompting the need for additional revenue through tariffs [10][12]. - The estimated trade volume affected by these tariffs is $3.2 trillion, which could potentially add several hundred billion dollars to U.S. government revenue if collected [14]. Group 3: China's Unique Position - China has managed to avoid these tariffs due to successful negotiations, demonstrating its significant role in the global supply chain and its ability to leverage its position [18][22]. - The U.S. recognizes that imposing tariffs on China could lead to increased inflation, affecting American consumers and potentially jeopardizing Trump's voter base [20][22]. - The negotiations have resulted in tangible benefits for China, such as the lifting of restrictions on EDA software and the export of energy products, showcasing a shift from confrontation to cooperation [18][24]. Group 4: Global Trade Implications - The unilateral approach of the U.S. in imposing tariffs without negotiation undermines established trade norms and could lead to retaliatory measures from other countries, escalating into a global trade war [26][29]. - The article suggests that this could set a dangerous precedent for future U.S. trade relations, where smaller nations may have to accept unfavorable terms without negotiation [28][29]. - The potential for collective resistance from affected countries could reshape the future of global trade dynamics, challenging U.S. trade hegemony [29][31].
特朗普征税风暴席卷全球,170国遭殃唯独放过中国,意欲何为
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-07 16:21