500% 关税？美国搬起石头砸自己脚，中俄印联手破局

Group 1 - French President Macron's recent conversation with Russian President Putin marks a significant diplomatic shift, breaking a three-year communication gap since the escalation of the Ukraine crisis [1][3] - The dialogue included discussions on the Iran nuclear issue and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with Macron urging for peace negotiations and Putin attributing the root of the conflict to the United States [3][5] - Macron emphasized the need for Europe to rethink its security architecture, indicating dissatisfaction with the US-led NATO framework [5][6] Group 2 - The proposed US tariff legislation aims to impose a 500% tariff on Chinese imports of Russian oil, which could significantly increase costs for American consumers [8][10] - China's daily imports of Russian oil reached 1.96 million barrels in May 2025, accounting for 17% of its total imports, while India imported 2.1 million barrels, nearly 40% of its total, demonstrating a deep economic interdependence that undermines US threats [10][12] - India's recent tariff on Chinese steel in an attempt to appease the US backfired, highlighting the complexities of international relations and the potential backlash against US demands [12][14] Group 3 - Historical precedents suggest that high tariffs, like those proposed by the US, could lead to significant declines in global trade, reminiscent of the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act [14][16] - China is preparing countermeasures against US tariffs, including diversifying its energy sources and expanding its renewable energy sector, which is projected to grow significantly [14][16] - The ongoing geopolitical struggle reflects a clash between unilateral hegemony and a multipolar world order, with countries like China, Russia, and India asserting their positions against US dominance [16][18]