高盛预计美联储将在9月份降息

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs anticipates that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in September, three months earlier than previously predicted, due to signs of milder inflation related to tariffs and counter-inflationary forces such as slowing wage growth and weakened demand [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Interest Rate Predictions - Goldman Sachs estimates that the probability of a rate cut in September is "slightly above" 50% [1] - The firm expects rate cuts of 25 basis points in September, October, and December, with two additional cuts anticipated in early 2026 [1] Terminal Rate Expectations - Goldman Sachs has revised its terminal rate forecast down from 3.5%-3.75% to 3%-3.25% [1]