帮主郑重：7月8日A股怎么走？五维透视给你答案

News Summary Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to continue its oscillating and consolidating pattern, with a focus on sectors supported by policies and those with high earnings certainty, such as new energy vehicles, charging facilities, electricity, and military industries [5]. Message Aspect - Recent policy support includes a notification from four departments aiming to establish over 100,000 high-power charging facilities by the end of 2027, which is expected to boost sales in the new energy vehicle sector [3]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission and five other departments have increased penalties for violations by listed companies, raising the maximum fine for fraudulent issuance to 10 million and extending prison terms, which is anticipated to enhance market confidence [3]. - The extreme heat has led to a surge in air conditioning sales, with Xiaomi's air conditioners in some regions selling 20 times more than the same period last year, indicating potential strength in the home appliance sector [3]. External Market Aspect - The U.S. stock market has shown volatility, with the Nasdaq down 0.9% and Tesla losing $68 billion in market value due to concerns over trade tensions following Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on multiple countries [3]. - The dollar index rose by 0.53%, reflecting increased risk aversion, which may affect foreign capital inflow into A-shares [3]. Technical Aspect - The three major A-share indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.79%, the Shenzhen Component down 0.38%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.69% [4]. - The Shanghai Composite Index is oscillating between 3,450 and 3,500 points, with 3,500 acting as a significant resistance level and 3,450 as a key support level [4]. - Trading volume was below 600 billion yuan, indicating low market activity and cautious investor sentiment [4]. Capital Flow Aspect - Northbound capital recorded a net sell-off of 6.304 billion yuan, with reductions in sectors like pharmaceuticals, non-ferrous metals, and electronics, while banking, public utilities, and non-bank financials saw net buying [4]. - Funds are shifting from high-valuation tech stocks to sectors with high earnings certainty, such as electricity and military industries, with the electricity sector performing well due to increased demand from high temperatures and declining coal prices [4]. Policy Aspect - The support for policies remains strong, with new regulations on quantitative supervision limiting high-frequency trading, which may encourage institutions to favor long-term allocations, benefiting blue-chip stocks [4]. - Hydrogen energy and data elements are also receiving policy support, with the first batch of 50 hydrogen vehicles launched in Dongguan and measures in Shanghai to activate the data element industry, representing long-term investment directions [4].