翁富豪：7.8 黄金早盘行情走势分析，黄金回调即多是关键

Group 1 - The current gold market shows significant divergence between bulls and bears, influenced by the potential for the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates, which diminishes gold's investment appeal, while trade tensions and geopolitical risks provide safe-haven support for gold [1] - Strong non-farm payroll data last week reduced market expectations for a rate cut in July, leading to an increase in U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar, putting pressure on non-yielding gold [1] - The market is awaiting the release of the Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes, which will clarify policymakers' views on the current economic situation and future policy, potentially determining the direction of interest rates [1] Group 2 - From a technical perspective, gold is under pressure at high levels, with a key resistance level at 3345; any rebound before breaking this level is seen as a short-selling opportunity [3] - If gold stabilizes above 3345, it would confirm a bottoming pattern, signaling the start of a bullish trend, thus shifting focus away from bearish strategies [3] - The 1-hour chart indicates a transition from weakness to strength, with the Bollinger Bands opening upwards, suggesting a potential acceleration in upward movement [3] Group 3 - Suggested trading strategies include buying gold near 3322 with a stop loss at 3314 and a target of 3340-3350, as well as selling gold near 3345 with a stop loss at 3353 and a target of 3330-3320 [4]