只有村民，才能救广州楼市

Core Insights - The recent surge in home buying activity in Tianhe, particularly at the LianTou WenJinFu project, indicates a significant shift in the local real estate market driven by the influx of villagers participating in the housing exchange program [1][3][7] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The number of replacement housing options for villagers has increased from 5 to 9, which has led to heightened competition in the real estate market [3] - Tianhe district achieved a record of 1,044 new home registrations in June, surpassing other districts like Zengcheng and Panyu [8][11] - Six out of the top ten new home projects in Tianhe for the first half of the year were included in the housing exchange program, highlighting the program's impact on sales [11][12] Group 2: Sales Performance - The sales performance of several projects has seen dramatic increases, with the Zhongjian Tianhe Jingcheng No. 1 project experiencing a 3,700% month-over-month increase in June [13] - The overall sales momentum continued into July, with nearly 480 units sold in the first week alone, indicating strong demand [15] - The total available units in Tianhe are reported to be 7,142, suggesting a potential for rapid sales if the current trend continues [15] Group 3: Developer Strategies - Developers are actively implementing strategies to attract villagers, including offering free transportation and gifts, to capitalize on the housing exchange trend [19] - The success of the Huangpu district in utilizing the housing exchange model has set a precedent, with over 1,100 units sold and more than 20 billion yuan in funds circulated [22] Group 4: Broader Implications - The trend of using existing new homes for relocation purposes is expected to grow, as traditional motivations for home buying are diminishing [24][26] - The overall inventory in Guangzhou has increased, with Tianhe facing a longer absorption period compared to other districts, indicating a supply-demand imbalance [26]