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深度解读 | 稳定币随时颠覆金融体系,有望终结美元霸权?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-08 04:14

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation on August 1 is expected to transform the financial system, enhancing cross-border remittance efficiency and reducing reliance on traditional banking systems like SWIFT [1][3]. Group 1: Stablecoin Overview - Stablecoins are a type of cryptocurrency whose value is pegged to fiat currencies or commodities, making them less volatile compared to other cryptocurrencies [3]. - The global legislative interest in stablecoins is rising, with various countries, including the US and UK, advancing their own regulations [3]. Group 2: Advantages of Stablecoins - Stablecoins can mitigate geopolitical risks by providing a stable value without the need for traditional banking transactions, potentially serving as an alternative to SWIFT for cross-border transactions [3][5]. - Transactions using stablecoins are faster and cheaper compared to traditional banking systems, with blockchain technology enabling transaction confirmations in about one minute, significantly reducing settlement times and costs [6]. Group 3: Market Implications - The clarity in stablecoin regulations has led to increased interest in related stocks in both US and Hong Kong markets, with a list of companies involved in stablecoin issuance and technology emerging [7]. - Major companies like Circle, Coinbase, and PayPal are actively involved in the stablecoin space, indicating a growing market presence [7]. Group 4: Impact on the Renminbi - The development of stablecoins could bolster the international status of the Renminbi, with Hong Kong potentially serving as a testing ground for Renminbi-linked stablecoins [8][10]. - Recent data shows that the Renminbi's share in bilateral trade settlements has reached over 30%, suggesting a growing acceptance that could be further enhanced by stablecoin initiatives [10]. Group 5: Challenges and Considerations - Despite the potential benefits, the international recognition of the Renminbi still depends on its inherent attractiveness, which is currently challenged by concerns over China's debt levels and economic stability [10]. - Structural reforms and easing of currency controls are necessary to enhance the appeal of Renminbi assets in the global market [10].