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欧盟欲与美国达成贸易协议 欧元关注趋势线压制

Group 1 - The euro/dollar exchange rate briefly strengthened before declining, currently at 1.1707 with a decrease of 0.13% [1] - Consumer inflation expectations in the U.S. have fallen back to levels seen before the announcement of large new tariffs by the Trump administration, with the median expectation for price increases over the next year dropping from 3.2% to 3% [1] - The U.S. labor market outlook is mixed, with many consumers anticipating difficulties in finding new jobs, aligning with cautious hiring and layoffs reported by U.S. companies [1] Group 2 - Germany's exports to the U.S. significantly decreased in May due to tariff threats from President Trump, with total exports falling by 1.4% month-on-month, while imports dropped by 3.8% [2] - The trade surplus for Germany increased from €15.7 billion to €18.4 billion (approximately $21.6 billion) in May [2] - The EU is seeking a preliminary trade agreement with the U.S. to lock in tariff rates at 10% after the August 1 deadline, with negotiations for a permanent agreement ongoing [2] Group 3 - The euro is supported at the 1.0950 level on a monthly basis, indicating a long-term bullish outlook [3] - On a weekly basis, the euro is supported at the 1.1450 area, suggesting a continued bullish perspective despite temporary corrections [3] - Key levels to watch include 1.1700 and the previous day's low, with a focus on whether the price can break below these support levels [3]