2026 年开始了。其实和昨天并没有什么本质区别，但日期从 2025 跳到 2026 的那一下，重量感还是在的。 也正因如此，我最近在看的不少海外时尚杂志，几乎都在新年这几天抛出了各自的"。 所以今天想做的事很简单：这些杂志的性格、视角都不一样，但它们总会在某些地方达成一致。我把这种"共识"整理成 5 条趋势线，聊聊 2026 SS 最值得 关注的方向。参考的来源主要来自法国、英国、美国的《Numero》《GQ》《Facesmag》《L'Officiel》《Vogue》等等，作为读全球趋势的入口，我觉得 够用了。 不过我一直觉得，趋势更像一条"线"而不是一个"点"。不是说到了 2026 才突然从 0 诞生出全新的东西，而是过去的延续、现在的强化、以及未来的走 向，在这一年被更清楚地看见。 先把结论放在最前面：2026 SS 可以用五句话最稳定地概括——"更短的下装 + 更松弛的轮廓 + 材质/表面的趣味 + 配饰回归 + 脚下更开放"。你看多了这 一季的秀，会发现它们总在这些共性上反复出现。 第一条，从短裤开始，尤其是更极端的"迷你短裤"。在现实生活里，男生对短到大腿根的长度确实长期有心理门槛，但趋势就是这样 ...

   …After last Monday’s SPX close at 6,817, we officially moved into a bullish seasonal period, with the second half of December averaging a 1.30% return. Coincidentally, a 1.30% advance from the December 15th close would push the SPX into resistance in the 6,900 area, where we saw highs in October and earlier this month...”            - Monday Morning Outlook, December 22, 2025 The flow of news around the holidays tends to be slower-than-normal, but a stronger-than-expected third-quarter gross domestic pro ...

若要重振整体看涨前景，EasyMarkets易信认为，比特币必须克服当前的趋势线阻力。如果市场能配合 美元指数的走弱实现强力突破，这种趋势的逆转将可能加速金价向100000美元心理大关迈进。 12月24日，近期加密货币市场波动加剧，根据EasyMarkets易信的行情观察，比特币（BTC）在试图重 回上涨轨道的过程中遭遇了明显的阻力压制。具体来看，周一的市场反弹在触及某关键价格天花板后失 去动能，迫使价格再次跌破88000美元关口。 这一天花板由10月份创下的126000美元上方历史高点所延伸出的下降趋势线构成。EasyMarkets易信表 示，该技术指标连接了此前的多个反弹高点，其中最为显眼的是116400美元附近的峰值，其重要性在多 次价格遇阻中反复得到验证。 分析认为，这条趋势线在周一成功击退了市场在90000美元上方建立支撑的尝试。从技术形态上看，这 种未能突破障碍的表现进一步强化了第四季度以来比特币呈现的"阶梯式下行"走势。 市场在阻力位附近形成的"较低高点"反映出空头力量的回归。这种现象使得多头冲击六位数大关的动力 暂时受挫，卖盘压力在靠近下降趋势线时表现得尤为明显。 目前的市场结构显示，只要价格 ...

#以太坊#比特币#以太坊实时分析#比特币实时分析# 以太坊，极强走势，所以要做多一定要激进，等大回撤，一定不是多，而是像之前的3250压制下的回撤，所以一定不能等小时线出大阴，在强涨行情里面 0.382就是分水岭，另外一个分水岭就是大阳线起点：3245一线，价格要强涨一定是看不破这里，那么按照强涨，整体的进场思路就清晰了，就是3245- 3283这个区间，早间已经测试0.382的3283一线，这个上涨继续不破高的话，还是要回撤到阳线底部，如果你仓位小不纠结的话，可以按照区间去进，守 3240这位置，其他的地方没什么需要啰嗦的，强涨破位后的行情不做空，除非是出现背离或者初步见顶信号。 以太坊回撤3245多 今日：2025年12月10日早间8点11分撰写老吕，注意所有策略生效一次，不可反复使用！関注图中或视频右下角查看文字版本和具体进场价格 大家好，我是老吕，老特出场，横扫全场，威力太大，接连释放继续加息信号，将所有避险产品全线推高，昨晚11点，老特：迅速降息将是其美联选的试 金石！随后晚间十一点半，票率最高的哈赛特：美联有充足空间大幅降息！一大一小打配合，不仅是双币种，黄金白银双双大涨，白银更是拉到了历史最 高 ...

“There is potential resistance overhead from the lower boundary of the bull channel that was in place from June through mid-November.…the sentiment landscape has changed in favor of the bulls as of the pre-Thanksgiving close, considering the three factors below: The SPX is back above key short-term moving averages with a V-rally from the mid-November low The 10-day buy (to open) put/call open interest ratio on SPX components at its highest level since early September, and A short interest “explosion” higher ...

周五晚，证监会网站发布了题为中国证监会就《上市公司监督管理条例（公开征求意见稿）》公开征求意见的文章，似乎并没有引起市场的关注，反响寥 寥。 但无周五，不重大，这个规律并没有被打破，汉鼎咨询认为，本次征求意见稿颁布的重要性和意义并不逊于往次，甚至可以理解为改革进程中的又一个标 志性节点。不过管理条例的定位让其单从影响看上去并没有那么明显而已。毕竟作为管理条例，实施效果释放是一个渐进的过程，同时也需要时间验证， 甚至几年之后再回头看，仍然不会那么明显。 可能很多人并没有注意到，这次是我国首部专门针对上市公司监管的行政法规。而在此之前，我国并不存在专门的《条例》，本次文件中所提出的相关监 管要求都分散在既往《公司法》、《证券法》及证监会、证券交易所的各类监管指引、业务规则中。所以也可以理解此次的征求意见稿是首次将这些分散 规定进行了系统化整合，从而形成的专门的行政法规，并且许多内容比照过去又有更加具体和全面的考量，同时具备联动性、时效性和规划性的特点。比 如针对审计委员会的要求，就是与2024 年新《公司法》中以审计委员会替代监事会的核心精神高度呼应，不仅从制度上落实了替代规则，还进一步细化 了操作标准和履职要求 ...

Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant volatility, with Dogecoin ($DOGE) facing a critical test of its long-term recovery trend [2] - A key upward trend line has been breached, indicating potential bearish momentum for Dogecoin [3] Price Analysis - The monthly chart of Dogecoin shows a clear long-term trend, with a critical support level around $0.18, which has been broken as the current trading price is $0.1626 [3] - The price is now being squeezed near a support level of approximately $0.159, which has historically acted as both resistance and support over the past two years [3] Historical Context - The $0.159-$0.16 range is significant for Dogecoin, having previously served as a strong barrier to price increases from May to October 2024, before a breakout led to a surge to $0.4843 in December [5] - Entering 2025, this range transformed into a critical support level, with monthly closing prices consistently holding above it despite several dips [6] Future Outlook - The closing price at the end of November is crucial, as it will determine the future trajectory of Dogecoin [7] - If Dogecoin can reclaim and close above the $0.18 trend line, the long-term upward trend may remain intact; otherwise, a significant drop below $0.159 could indicate a shift towards a bearish market [7][9]

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market has shown a strong rebound, reaching historical highs and maintaining an upward trend, with future movements dependent on the trend line resistance level [1][3]. Price Movement - Gold prices opened the week at $4004.70, hitting a low of $4003.62 before rebounding to a historical high of $4378.91 on Friday, followed by a drop of over $192, ultimately closing at $4246.89. The weekly price fluctuation was $375.29, with a weekly increase of $234.26, representing a 5.83% rise compared to the previous week's closing price of $4012.63 [3]. Influencing Factors - The rise in gold prices was driven by concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown, statements from Federal Reserve officials supporting interest rate cuts, heightened geopolitical tensions, and increased risk aversion due to issues in the U.S. credit market [3]. - The upward movement faced resistance at the trend line, leading to profit-taking, while the U.S. dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields rebounded on Friday, adding pressure to gold prices [3].

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market has shown a strong rebound, reaching historical highs and closing positively for the ninth consecutive week, with future movements dependent on the trend line resistance level [1][3]. Market Performance - Gold prices opened the week at $4004.70, hitting a low of $4003.62 before rebounding to a high of $4378.91, ultimately closing at $4246.89, marking a weekly increase of $234.26 or 5.83% from the previous week's close of $4012.63 [1][3]. Influencing Factors - Concerns over a potential U.S. government shutdown, dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials, and rising geopolitical tensions have contributed to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3][5]. - The recent surge in gold prices has also been influenced by significant sell-offs as prices approached key resistance levels, alongside a rebound in the U.S. dollar index and Treasury yields [3][5]. Future Outlook - The market is expected to experience volatility, with potential adjustments to $4000 or $3800 if resistance is encountered. Key events to watch include the meeting between Trump and Chinese leaders and the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting at the end of October [3][5]. - Long-term bullish sentiment remains, supported by central bank gold purchases and ongoing geopolitical risks, despite short-term concerns about market corrections [5][6]. Technical Analysis - Monthly charts indicate that gold prices are encountering resistance at the upper trend channel, with a potential for further upward movement if the resistance is broken. However, a significant adjustment may be on the horizon, as historical data suggests that gold has never achieved ten consecutive weeks of gains [8][10]. - Daily charts show a bearish reversal pattern, indicating a possible short-term decline unless prices recover from recent losses [10]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4215 and $4160, while resistance levels are at $4285 and $4333. For silver, support is at $51.20 and $49.85, with resistance at $52.35 and $53.00 [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are experiencing strong bullish momentum but face resistance levels around 4060/4085, with support at 4021/4000. A buy recommendation is suggested near 4020 with a target profit of 70-100 points and a stop loss at 4010 [2][3] - The driving factors for gold's movement include escalating geopolitical risks, expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and political instability in multiple countries, which are increasing demand for safe-haven assets [3] Group 2 - For EUR/USD, the market is currently in a consolidation phase after reaching a high of 1.163, with a focus on the easing of political tensions in France and Germany, which counterbalance the delayed impact of U.S. employment data [5] - Key support levels are identified at 1.150/1.154 and resistance at 1.169/1.174, with a trading strategy suggesting a short position near 1.166 [7] Group 3 - GBP/USD is supported by hawkish comments from the Bank of England, but U.S. risk aversion is limiting its gains, resulting in a doji candlestick formation [9] - Key support levels are at 1.323/1.328 and resistance at 1.343/1.348, with a recommendation to enter a long position near 1.330 [11] Group 4 - GBP/JPY experienced a downward breakout after initial fluctuations, reaching a significant Fibonacci retracement level, with a bearish candlestick formation [13] - Resistance levels are noted at 203.7/204.4 and support at 201.3/202, with a recommendation to enter short positions between 203-203.5 [15]