美国新“印钞机”?贝森特:关税收入今年有望达3000亿美元
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-07-09 03:58

Core Insights - The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Mnuchin, announced that the U.S. has collected approximately $100 billion in tariff revenue so far this year, with projections suggesting this could rise to $300 billion by the end of 2025 due to the acceleration of tariffs from the trade war initiated by President Trump [2][3] - The significant increase in tariff revenue is attributed to the implementation of nearly universal 10% tariffs on imported goods and increased tariffs on steel, aluminum, and automobiles [2][3] - The Treasury Department reported a record tariff collection of $22.8 billion in May, a nearly fourfold increase compared to $6.2 billion in the same month last year, contributing to a total of $86.1 billion in tariff revenue for the first eight months of the fiscal year [4][7] Revenue Projections - Mnuchin indicated that the target of $300 billion in tariff revenue corresponds to the calendar year 2025, not the fiscal year, implying a need for exponential growth in tariff collections in the coming months [3] - The Congressional Budget Office previously estimated that tariff revenue could total approximately $2.8 trillion over the next decade, a figure Mnuchin believes may be underestimated [4] Future Tariff Actions - President Trump has set a deadline of August 1 for implementing higher reciprocal tariff rates on nearly all trading partners, while still allowing for negotiations with some countries to potentially lower these rates [10] - Trump announced plans to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports, which is widely used across various sectors, including housing, consumer electronics, and military hardware, with additional tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals expected [10]