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银行纷纷下架可转债,市场或现千亿元缺口,投资者“疯抢”新债
Hua Xia Shi Bao·2025-07-09 05:15

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is witnessing a rapid decline in the convertible bond "water reservoir" due to several small and medium-sized listed banks exercising strong redemption of their convertible bonds, creating a significant investment opportunity despite new bond issuances accelerating [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Several banks, including Qilu Bank and Hangzhou Bank, have triggered strong redemption clauses for their convertible bonds, with a total issuance amount of 48 billion yuan involved [1][2]. - The overall market for bank convertible bonds is expected to face a shortfall of over 100 billion yuan, as the supply of convertible bonds is decreasing while demand remains high [4][5]. - The banking sector's strong performance, with a 16.02% increase in the A-share banking sector in Q2, has facilitated the successful conversion of convertible bonds into equity [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Institutional investors are adjusting their strategies in response to the shrinking supply of bank convertible bonds, with a potential shift towards high-rated convertible bonds and promising growth bonds in emerging industries [4][6]. - The current market environment is prompting funds to seek out assets with strong equity characteristics and stable debt foundations, particularly in sectors like banking and energy [6][7]. - There is a growing interest in new convertible bonds, with companies like China General Nuclear Power Corporation planning to issue 4.9 billion yuan in convertible bonds, although the overall issuance pace is still lagging behind the redemption of existing bank bonds [7][8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The reduction in bank convertible bond supply is expected to impact both private and public fund investment strategies, necessitating a reevaluation of portfolio allocations [4][5]. - The market anticipates that banks may return to issuing new convertible bonds in favorable market conditions, particularly when stock prices rise, indicating a potential for future capital replenishment [9].