美国25%关税重击日本飞机和工程机械

Group 1 - Japan's actual GDP is estimated to decrease by 0.2% with a 10% reciprocal tariff and by 0.4% if the tariff increases to 25% [2][5] - The export value of Japan in 2024 is projected to be 107.0879 trillion yen, with exports to the US amounting to 21.2947 trillion yen, representing about 20% of total exports [2] - The total export value of aircraft parts, including those exported to the US, is 307.9 billion yen, with 76.5% of this amount going to the US [4] Group 2 - The export ratio of construction and mining machinery to the US exceeds 50%, with Komatsu's sales in North America accounting for 30% of its total sales [5] - The machine tool and metal processing machinery export ratio to the US is 23.4%, with US orders making up about 20% of total orders for Japanese manufacturers [5] - The Japan Economic Federation expressed concerns that the new tariff rates would have a significant impact on Japanese companies' investment strategies and profitability [5] Group 3 - The Imperial Credit Corporation predicted a 5% increase in domestic bankruptcies in Japan for the fiscal year 2025, reaching 10,574 cases, if tariffs rise to 24% [6] - The chief researcher at the Imperial Credit Corporation indicated that if tariffs increase to 25%, the number of bankrupt companies is likely to rise further [6]