Exxon's Profit Took a $1.5 Billion Hit Last Quarter. Is the Oil Stock Still Worth Buying?

Core Viewpoint - ExxonMobil anticipates a profit decline of $1.5 billion in the second quarter due to weaker oil and gas prices, raising questions about its future investment potential [1][3] Financial Performance - Exxon expects a more than $1 billion hit from lower oil prices and nearly $1 billion from weaker gas prices, but higher refining margins may boost earnings by about $300 million [3] - Despite the expected decline, Exxon reported $6.8 billion in upstream earnings and $7.7 billion in total profit in the first quarter, leading all international oil companies [4] - Exxon also led in cash flow from operations at $13 billion and shareholder distributions at $9.1 billion, including $4.8 billion in share repurchases [4] Cost Management - Since 2019, Exxon has achieved $12.7 billion in cost savings, more than all other international oil companies combined, with $600 million cut in the first quarter alone [5] - The company focuses on investing in advantaged assets like the Permian and Guyana, which have low costs and high profit margins [5] Growth Strategy - Exxon anticipates a reacceleration in profits over the coming years, targeting $20 billion in earnings and $30 billion in cash flow by 2030, assuming crude oil averages around $65 per barrel [6][7] - The company plans to invest around $140 billion in major capital projects and its Permian Basin development program, expecting returns of over 30% [8] - Exxon aims to achieve a total of $18 billion in structural cost savings by 2030 through various strategies [9] Shareholder Value - The company's growth strategy should enable continued dividend increases and stock repurchases, having raised its payout for 42 consecutive years [10] - Despite quarterly earnings fluctuations, Exxon is positioned for significant long-term growth, making it an attractive stock for investors [11]