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别过度纠结!关注美联储降息是“无用功”?
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-07-09 13:52

Group 1 - The article suggests that U.S. stock investors may stop overanalyzing when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates and by how much, as the stock market's response to rate cuts lacks a consistent pattern [1] - Since 1980, the average returns of the Wilshire 5000 index have been compared across various scenarios of Federal Reserve rate cuts, showing no significant differences at a 95% confidence level [3] - Mark Hulbert's analysis using the CME's FedWatch tool indicates a statistically significant correlation between the probability of higher interest rates and the performance of the S&P 500 index, suggesting that higher rate expectations may reflect a strong U.S. economy [3]