Core Viewpoint - The recent real estate market is experiencing significant declines in housing prices, particularly in the second-hand housing market, raising concerns among potential buyers and investors [1][3]. Group 1: Overall Market Situation - In June, the average price of second-hand residential properties in 100 cities was 13,691 yuan per square meter, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 0.75%, which is an increase in the decline rate by 0.4 percentage points compared to May [3]. - Year-on-year, the price dropped by 7.26%, with the decline rate also widening by 0.02 percentage points from the previous month [3]. - The continuous decline in housing prices, particularly when the month-on-month drop exceeds 0.7%, indicates a significant market contraction that can lead to a cumulative annual decline of around 10% [3]. Group 2: City-Level Analysis - First-tier cities saw a month-on-month price drop of 0.56%, while second-tier and third/fourth-tier cities experienced declines of 0.81% and 0.76%, respectively [3]. - Although first-tier cities have the smallest decline, the acceleration in the drop from 0.36% in May to 0.56% in June suggests a concerning trend [3][4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The easing of restrictions in the real estate market since September last year initially alleviated pressure on first-tier cities, but the effects appear to have diminished as demand has been largely consumed [5]. - The increasing number of listings indicates a shift in market dynamics, favoring buyers as sellers are compelled to lower prices to attract buyers [6]. - The rise in listings, particularly in first-tier cities, suggests a supply-demand imbalance, leading to further price reductions [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The potential for a new wave of selling could emerge if market expectations are not met, particularly if further policy relaxations do not stabilize the market [9]. - The company advises sellers to capitalize on potential market rebounds in 2025, as this period may coincide with policy-driven demand surges [10].
现在下决心降价卖房，已经晚了
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-09 17:06