百利好晚盘分析：会议纪要符合预期 降息时机仍不清晰

Gold - The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes reveal significant disagreement among officials regarding interest rates, with 7 out of 19 participants believing there will be no rate cuts this year, while 10 expect at least two cuts [1] - Recent adjustments to tariff policies by President Trump have impacted the market, indicating potential for increased volatility [1] - Technically, gold has shown a downward trend post non-farm payrolls, with a focus on resistance at $1,320 and support at $1,270 [1] Oil - The EIA reported an increase of 7.07 million barrels in U.S. crude oil inventories for the week ending July 4, contrary to expectations of a decrease [3] - OPEC+ plans to increase oil production by 548,000 barrels per day starting in August, exceeding the expected increase of 411,000 barrels per day, yet oil prices have rebounded [3] - The current summer travel season in the U.S. is boosting oil demand, while the anticipated increase in OPEC+ production has been largely priced in by the market [3] Technical Analysis - Oil prices have maintained an upward trend over the past two weeks, nearing $69 without significant resistance signals, with support at $66.50 and resistance at $69 [4] - Copper prices surged on July 8 and are currently in a high-level consolidation phase, with support at $5.37 [6] - The Nikkei 225 index has been fluctuating between 39,300 and 40,000 after a drop from 40,833, with a potential further decline towards 38,300 if it breaks below 39,300 [7]