Buy or Sell Tesla Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?

Group 1 - Tesla's stock declined nearly 7% following CEO Elon Musk's announcement of forming a new political party, reflecting investor concerns [2] - The company is expected to report earnings of approximately $0.44 per share, a 15% decrease year-over-year, with revenues projected to fall by 11% to $22.7 billion [2] - Tesla delivered 384,122 vehicles in Q2, marking a 13.5% decrease from 443,956 units in the same quarter last year, indicating weakening demand in key markets [2] Group 2 - Tesla's market capitalization stands at $946 billion, with annual revenue reaching $96 billion and operational profits of $7.1 billion, resulting in a net income of $6.4 billion [3] - The company's gross margins were reported at 16.3% in Q1, down from 17.4% the previous year and significantly lower than the 25% margins achieved in prior years [2] Group 3 - Historical data shows that Tesla has had 20 earnings data points over the last five years, with 60% of one-day post-earnings returns being positive, though this percentage drops to 50% in the last three years [4] - The median of positive one-day returns is 4.2%, while the median of negative returns is -6.1% [4]