Core Viewpoint - The recent statements from the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) indicate a strong commitment to stabilizing the real estate market in China, leading to a significant rebound in real estate stocks [1][5]. Group 1: Policy Signals - The NDRC has announced measures allowing cities with population inflows to utilize ultra-long-term special bonds and local government special bonds to enhance the recovery of idle land and stock housing, thereby increasing the supply of affordable housing for migrant populations [1][6]. - The NDRC aims to achieve new urbanization goals by 2035, focusing on high-quality urbanization through major projects that support agricultural migration and urban development [6]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the NDRC's announcement, A-shares in the real estate sector experienced a strong rebound, with several stocks hitting the daily limit up, and Hong Kong-listed property stocks saw even more significant gains, with some increasing by 30% [1]. - HSBC's report indicates that the recent rebound in the real estate sector is driven by a rapid reconstruction of market expectations regarding government policies, despite disappointing sales data [3]. Group 3: Investment Insights - HSBC suggests that investors are beginning to position themselves ahead of the upcoming Politburo meeting, viewing it as a critical policy window [3]. - Morgan Stanley highlights that the central government's entry into real estate relief through special bonds will benefit real estate stocks in the short term, although the fundamental impact will depend on the execution of these policies [5].
华尔街谈地产股大涨:政策预期下,“坏消息就是好消息”