现房销售，什么时候能在全国实施？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution and current state of the real estate market in China, particularly focusing on the shift from pre-sale to current sale models, highlighting the challenges and potential benefits of each system [1][5][7]. Group 1: Historical Context - The pre-sale model, created by Ho Ying Tung in the 1950s, significantly contributed to the prosperity of Hong Kong's real estate market [1]. - From 2017 to 2021, the real estate industry experienced rapid growth, with new home sales reaching nearly 1.8 billion square meters in 2021, marking a historical peak [1]. - In 2022, the market began to decline, leading to an increase in the proportion of pre-sale homes, with the first five months of 2025 showing a new high of 35.6% for current home sales since 2007 [1][3]. Group 2: Current Market Dynamics - The current environment has led to increased calls for current home sales, as many consumers express dissatisfaction with the pre-sale model due to concerns over delivery and quality [3][4]. - The People's Bank of China and other regulatory bodies are introducing policies to stabilize the market, including measures to support financing for real estate development [3][8]. Group 3: Challenges and Considerations - The article emphasizes that the core issue is not merely the choice between pre-sale and current sale but ensuring the delivery and quality of homes [5][6]. - The current economic climate poses significant challenges for developers, many of whom are struggling to complete projects, which complicates the transition to a current sale model [5][7]. - While some cities are moving towards current sales, the overall industry adjustment is still ongoing, and a hasty shift could exacerbate existing problems [7][9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Several regions, including Guangdong and Anhui, are piloting current home sales, with some cities like Xinyang planning to fully implement this model by 2025 [8][9]. - Developers are encouraged to adapt to the changing market by offering current or near-current home options, as seen with companies like Zhongkun Real Estate [9][10]. - The article concludes that while current home sales may become dominant in the long term, the timing and method of implementation will vary by city, requiring careful consideration to ensure consumer benefits [9].