Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-11 03:02Core Viewpoint - The securities sector is experiencing a strong rally, driven by favorable policies and robust trading activity, with a focus on leading securities firms and ETFs as investment opportunities [1][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - On July 11, the Shanghai Composite Index rose nearly 1%, surpassing 3530 points, with securities stocks showing significant strength [1]. - The Securities ETF leader (560090) surged over 3% in early trading, indicating strong market interest [1]. - Major component stocks of the Securities ETF, such as Zhongyin Securities and Zhongyuan Securities, reached their daily limit, while Guosheng Jinkong and Guolian Minsheng rose over 6% [3]. Group 2: Company Earnings - Red Tower Securities projected a 45%-55% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, while Guosheng Jinkong expected a staggering growth of 236.85%-394.05% in the same period [5]. - Guosheng Jinkong attributed its performance to improvements in brokerage and investment banking businesses, alongside enhanced risk management [5]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The brokerage sector is expected to maintain high profitability in the second half of the year, supported by active trading, improved bond markets, and a favorable IPO environment [6]. - Long-term trends indicate a shift towards higher industry concentration and the emergence of leading brokerages with competitive advantages [6]. - The brokerage sector's valuation remains low, with a price-to-book ratio of only 1.47, suggesting a favorable investment opportunity [7]. Group 4: Strategic Developments - Recent mergers and acquisitions in the brokerage sector, such as the merger between Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities, are expected to enhance operational synergies and scale [7]. - The ongoing trend of mergers, including "Xibu + Guorong" and "Guoxin + Wanhua," is anticipated to further boost the sector's valuation [7]. Group 5: Investment Tools - The Securities ETF leader (560090) tracks the CSI All-Share Securities Company Index, providing a direct and efficient way to invest in the securities sector [9]. - For investors without a securities account, linked funds (A class: 501047; C class: 501048) are available for investment [9].