Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-07-11 04:01Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the anticipation of the June CPI inflation report, which is expected to provide insights into the impact of the tariff war initiated by President Trump on prices [2][3] - Wall Street forecasts a 0.3% month-over-month increase in the core CPI, excluding food and energy, which would be the highest level since January [2] - Analysts from TD Securities expect a faster increase in commodity prices in June, reflecting the transmission of some tariff costs, while BofA Securities highlights that core goods prices will be the main driver of inflation acceleration [2][3] Group 2 - The importance of the core CPI month-over-month figure lies in its ability to help investors and policymakers understand the underlying inflation trend by excluding volatile components [3] - Market participants' reaction to the June core CPI increase will be crucial in determining whether it is seen as a one-time event or a precursor to future inflation [3] - LPL Financial's chief fixed income strategist expresses optimism, indicating that the bond market does not expect a sustained acceleration in inflation despite some upward adjustments in expectations [4] Group 3 - The breadth of inflationary pressures in the commodity sector will influence market participants' responses to the upcoming CPI data [5] - There is a risk in the bond market if inflation does indeed accelerate, which could lead to higher yields for incorrect reasons, potentially affecting stock markets as well [5]