屡刷历史新高！比特币逼近12万美元，“加密政策周”即将来临

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin prices have reached new historical highs, with significant increases in the cryptocurrency market, driven by institutional investments and favorable regulatory expectations [2][4][9]. Market Performance - Bitcoin price surpassed $117,455, with a daily increase of 5.59% and a year-to-date increase of approximately 20% [2]. - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies reached $3.7 trillion, with Bitcoin holding a market share of 62.5% [2]. - Ethereum also saw a price increase, surpassing $3,000 with a daily rise of about 7% [4]. Institutional Investment - Institutional investments have been a key driver of the recent price surge, with significant inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs [4]. - As of July 10, the net inflow into Bitcoin ETFs reached $1.176 billion, marking six consecutive days of inflows, while Ethereum ETFs saw $383 million in inflows over five days [4]. - A report indicated that 125 publicly traded companies hold a total of 847,000 Bitcoins, representing 4.03% of the total supply, with a quarterly increase of 60.93% [5]. Regulatory Environment - Upcoming legislation in the U.S. is expected to provide a more favorable regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, which may further support Bitcoin prices [7]. - The anticipation of the "GENIUS Act" and the "CLARITY Act" is contributing to positive market sentiment [7]. Market Sentiment and Risks - The market sentiment is currently characterized by "greed," with a fear and greed index reading of 71 [2]. - Despite the positive outlook, there are warnings about the inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies and the need for investors to remain cautious [3][5]. - The correlation between Bitcoin prices and the performance of tech stocks suggests that macroeconomic factors will play a significant role in Bitcoin's future price movements [6][8]. Future Projections - Analysts predict that Bitcoin could reach $135,000 in Q3 and potentially $200,000 by the end of 2025, driven by increased demand and limited supply [9]. - The ongoing influx of institutional capital is expected to significantly influence Bitcoin's price trajectory [9].