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摩根大通CEO称美联储升息概率被低估,预期达40%-50%远超市场20%定价
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-11 11:05

Group 1 - Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, believes the market is underestimating the likelihood of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, suggesting a probability of 40% to 50% compared to the market's 20% [1] - Dimon's perspective indicates a more cautious view of the economic environment, suggesting that the market may be overly optimistic about the Fed's policy direction [1] - There is increasing divergence within the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, with some officials supporting rate cuts within the year while others advocate for a more cautious approach [1] Group 2 - The market currently assigns less than a 5% probability to a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in July, reflecting investor caution regarding short-term policy changes [2] - President Trump has increased pressure on the Federal Reserve, criticizing current interest rates and suggesting they are detrimental to the economy [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasizes the importance of policy independence, stating that decisions will be based on economic data rather than political pressures [2]