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比特币逼近12万美元,加密市场狂热,上涨逻辑在哪?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-11 12:21

Group 1 - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a bullish trend, with Bitcoin surpassing $118,000 and Ethereum breaking the $3,000 mark, contributing to a total market capitalization of $3.7 trillion, which has increased by over 1% in 24 hours [2][3][8] - The macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, with mixed signals; however, positive employment data from the U.S. indicates a lower likelihood of interest rate cuts in the short term, with a 95.3% probability of rates remaining unchanged in July [3][5] - Regulatory developments are progressing positively, with significant bills related to stablecoins and digital asset markets moving forward, and the SEC collaborating with exchanges to establish cryptocurrency ETF listing standards [6][7] Group 2 - Institutional demand is surging, evidenced by significant inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, with Bitcoin seeing a net inflow of $218 million and Ethereum $211 million over recent days [7] - The current price increase is attributed to a decrease in selling pressure, with long-term holders now owning 74% of Bitcoin's total supply, indicating a shift towards accumulation rather than distribution [8][11] - The correlation between the cryptocurrency market and U.S. stock markets is strengthening, with recent highs in the Nasdaq and S&P 500 aligning with Bitcoin's price movements, suggesting a broader risk-on sentiment [11][13] Group 3 - The rise of Ethereum is drawing more attention as it is perceived to have greater ecosystem potential compared to Bitcoin, with many altcoins still significantly below their previous highs [13][14] - The stablecoin concept is gaining traction in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with notable price increases in related stocks, reflecting the market's enthusiasm for digital currencies [14] - Despite the bullish sentiment, caution remains prevalent among retail investors, with concerns about the sustainability of the rapid price increases and potential market manipulation [15][17]