Muyuan Foods (SZ:002714) Zheng Quan Ri Bao·2025-07-11 16:44Core Viewpoint - The pig farming industry shows resilience despite declining prices, with companies focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement to maintain profitability [1][2]. Industry Overview - In the first half of the year, the average selling price of pigs decreased, with New Hope Liuhe reporting a drop from 15.41 yuan per kg in January to 14.18 yuan per kg in June, and Jiangsu Lihua Food Group showing a decline from 16.12 yuan per kg to 14.54 yuan per kg in the same period [1]. - The breeding stock remains high, with the number of breeding sows consistently above 40.5 million, significantly higher than the normal level of 39 million, leading to increased market supply [1]. - Analysts indicate that irrational selling behaviors in the breeding sector have intensified short-term supply pressures [1]. Company Performance - Leading companies like Muyuan Foods are expected to see significant profit increases in the first half of 2025 due to higher pig output and reduced breeding costs compared to the previous year [2]. - Despite lower sales prices, the industry still shows profitability in the first half of the year, with potential challenges in the second half if supply outpaces demand [2]. Market Dynamics - The supply of pigs is expected to remain higher than in the first half, while seasonal demand may increase, leading to a narrow fluctuation in average prices [2]. - The third quarter may see a seasonal price rebound, but sustained increases lack support, with competition among large-scale enterprises likely to drive down production costs [2]. Strategic Recommendations - Companies are advised to optimize their selling schedules and adjust their breeding structures, while also focusing on cost reduction through feed optimization and securing raw material prices [3]. - Emphasis on improving breeding technology, nutrition, and breed development is crucial to avoid blind expansion and adhere to industry development trends [3].