广州零售市场观察：空置率趋稳，超市“新鲜”升级抢客源

Core Insights - The retail market in Guangzhou shows stability with a slight increase in vacancy rates and a decrease in average rental prices, indicating a cautious but evolving landscape for retail properties [1][2]. Retail Market Overview - The retail property vacancy rate in Guangzhou for the first half of 2025 is reported at 12.7%, with a minor increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year and a decrease of 0.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, demonstrating better stability compared to the office market [1][2]. - Average rental prices in Guangzhou have decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, now standing at 619.1 yuan per square meter per month [2]. Changes in Consumer Behavior - The restaurant sector is experiencing significant changes, with major dining establishments adopting a more cautious approach due to declining profit margins, contrasting with the more optimistic outlook of upgraded dining brands [2]. - National retail innovation pilot policies are driving changes in consumer behavior, promoting trade-in programs and the integration of online and offline shopping experiences [5]. Retail Innovations and Trends - The first batch of 38 cities has been designated as national retail innovation pilot cities, reflecting a shift in consumer trends towards green and circular consumption [5]. - New retail formats are emerging, including second-hand stores and the integration of live streaming in physical retail, enhancing the online-offline fusion trend [5]. Supermarket Sector Developments - The supermarket sector is undergoing significant transformations, with a focus on enhancing the freshness of products and introducing new operational concepts [7][9]. - Notable changes include the introduction of a higher proportion of imported goods, an increase in fresh and baked goods, and the implementation of a "fresh" shopping experience in stores like Dailian [7][9]. - Dailian's recent store renovations aim to cater to younger consumers by expanding product offerings, including a significant increase in baked goods and ready-to-eat meals [9]. Challenges and Future Outlook - While many supermarkets are pursuing renovations, the success of these changes will ultimately depend on consumer acceptance and the ability to meet market demands while maintaining competitive pricing [11].