YILI(SH:600887) Cai Jing Wang·2025-07-13 13:09Core Viewpoint - The Chinese dairy industry has made significant advancements in scale, milk yield per cow, and raw milk quality, achieving a transformation from "catching up" to "keeping pace" and even "leading" within approximately twenty years, compared to the century-long industrialization process in developed countries [1][4]. Group 1: Dairy Production and Quality - China's milk production has stabilized among the top four globally, with a 32% increase in milk output from 2012 to 2024, reaching 40.79 million tons, while the number of dairy cows has remained relatively constant [4][5]. - The average milk yield per cow has risen from 5,500 kg/year in 2012 to 9,900 kg/year in 2024, indicating a substantial improvement in dairy farming efficiency [4][5]. - The quality of raw milk produced in China now meets EU standards for fat and protein content, with bacterial counts significantly lower than the EU limit, reflecting enhanced management and hygiene practices [1][12]. Group 2: Industry Transformation and Technological Advancements - The shift towards large-scale farming has increased the proportion of dairy farms with over 100 cows to 78%, marking a transition from small-scale to large-scale operations [5][7]. - The adoption of mechanization and digitalization in dairy farming has led to improved production efficiency and quality control, with 100% mechanization in large-scale farms [7][13]. - The integration of advanced technologies, such as automated monitoring systems and precision feeding, has further enhanced the quality of raw milk and overall farm management [13]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The domestic market for dairy products is projected to grow significantly, with retail sales expected to reach 151.6 billion yuan for liquid milk, 136.7 billion yuan for infant formula, and 99.9 billion yuan for yogurt by 2024 [14]. - Despite the positive trends, the industry faces challenges in demand stimulation and the need for continued support measures to enhance competitiveness and value addition [14]. - The Chinese dairy sector aims to establish a global presence with high-quality milk, positioning itself as a "Chinese model" in the international dairy market [14].