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华尔街到陆家嘴精选丨特朗普欲对欧墨征30%关税!高盛:AI投资转向收获期 英伟达等被低估!现货银价创近14年新高 今年涨幅超黄金!铜关税或扩至半成品影响几何?
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun·2025-07-14 01:51

Group 1: Tariff Implications - Trump announced a 30% tariff on the EU and Mexico starting August 1, which may impact market sentiment and corporate profits, particularly for smaller companies [1][2] - The EU is preparing to respond with countermeasures if an agreement is not reached before the tariff implementation [1] - The upcoming CPI data is expected to show a rise in inflation, potentially affecting market expectations for interest rate cuts [1] Group 2: Microsoft and AI Market - Morgan Stanley's survey indicates strong demand for Microsoft's Azure and M365 Copilot, with 31% of CIOs planning to deploy M365 Copilot within the next 12 months, up from 17% [3][4] - Microsoft's stock has reached an all-time high, reflecting its solid position in the generative AI market and stable demand trends [4] - Analysts suggest that Microsoft's investment value may be underestimated, with potential for further growth [4] Group 3: AI Investment Trends - Goldman Sachs reports that AI investment is transitioning to a "harvest phase," with sustained growth expected over the next 2-3 years despite a slowdown in investment growth [5][6] - AI automation could save Fortune 500 companies approximately $935 billion by 2030, supporting current investment levels [5][6] - Companies like Nvidia and Broadcom are seen as undervalued, while AMD and others are rated neutrally due to their early-stage AI business [5][6] Group 4: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver prices have surged to their highest level since 2011, driven by supply constraints and strong inflows into silver ETFs [7][8] - The silver market has experienced a continuous five-year shortage, with prices up 32.9% year-to-date [7][8] - Analysts expect silver to maintain its strength in the short term due to tight supply and long-term industrial demand growth [8] Group 5: Copper Tariff Developments - Trump plans to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports, including semi-finished products, which could significantly impact industries reliant on copper [9][10] - Analysts predict a temporary spike in copper prices due to panic buying ahead of the tariff, but a potential price correction may follow once the tariff is implemented [9][10] - The long-term outlook suggests that domestic copper production in the U.S. may not meet demand, leading to increased costs for related industries [10]