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【央行圆桌汇】美联储官员发声 降息在即但分歧明显(2025年7月14日)
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-14 06:10

Central Bank Dynamics - The Trump administration is using the $700 million overspend on the Federal Reserve's headquarters renovation as a potential reason to dismiss Chairman Powell before his term ends in May 2026 [1] - Federal Reserve officials show significant disagreement regarding interest rate cuts, primarily due to differing expectations on the inflation impact of tariffs [2] - The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has decreased to $6.7 trillion, with bank reserves at $3.3 trillion, and discussions on further balance sheet reduction are ongoing [3] Global Central Bank Responses - The European Central Bank (ECB) is considering maintaining flexible monetary policy in response to economic growth risks and potential deflation [4] - The Bank of England's Governor Bailey prefers central banks to provide tokenized deposits [6] - The Bank of Japan has completely sold off its holdings in bank stocks, focusing attention on its larger ETF holdings, which could take over 200 years to liquidate at the current pace [6] Economic Indicators and Market Reactions - U.S. inflation indicators are showing signs of upward pressure, with companies beginning to pass on tariff-related costs to consumers [9] - Canada's unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 6.9%, with a net addition of 83,100 jobs, which may influence the Bank of Canada's upcoming monetary policy decisions [10] - The Bank of Korea has paused interest rate cuts, citing significant economic uncertainty from U.S. tariffs [7]