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马斯克:AI已比多数人聪明 五年内将超越人类智慧总和
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-14 09:13

Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk predicts that artificial intelligence (AI) will surpass human intelligence collectively within five years, emphasizing the need for AI to seek truth despite potential obstacles [3][4]. Group 1: AI Development and Predictions - Musk states that AI is already smarter than most individuals but has not yet surpassed any single human, and it is significantly less intelligent than a group of smart individuals using computers [3]. - He anticipates that AI could become smarter than any individual within two years and collectively smarter than all humans in about five years [3]. - Musk previously mentioned a 20% probability of AI leading to human civilization's extinction by 2030, highlighting the rapid advancement of AI's reasoning capabilities in mathematics and science [4]. Group 2: xAI Company and Investments - Musk's AI startup, xAI, has received a commitment of $2 billion from SpaceX as part of a $5 billion equity financing round, following the merger with the X platform, which values the company at $113 billion [5]. - The latest models developed by xAI, Grok 4 and Grok 4 Heavy, have shown significant potential, with Grok 4 being a single-agent model and Grok 4 Heavy a multi-agent version [4]. - The Grok chatbot has been integrated into the Starlink support system and may be further incorporated into Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot in the future [5].