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Is Kinder Morgan Poised for a Beat in Second-Quarter Earnings?
Kinder MorganKinder Morgan(US:KMI) ZACKSยท2025-07-14 13:36

Core Viewpoint - Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 earnings on July 16, with factors influencing its performance being analyzed [1] Group 1: Q1 Performance and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, KMI's adjusted earnings per share were 34 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 35 cents due to a planned turnaround at its condensate processing facility and increased operating costs [2] - KMI has missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 3.33% [2] Group 2: Estimate Trends - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter earnings per share is 28 cents, reflecting a 12% improvement from the prior year [3] - The top-line estimate of $3.88 billion indicates an 8.69% increase from the year-ago figure [3] Group 3: Factors Influencing Performance - KMI is expected to maintain stable performance due to long-term contracts that ensure consistent cash flows and protect against short-term market fluctuations [4] - The Natural Gas Henry Hub Spot price increased almost 53% year over year in the second quarter, which may have positively impacted KMI's revenues [4] - Higher gathering and transport volumes year over year likely aided overall throughput and fee-based earnings [5] - KMI's project backlog, approximately $8 billion, is expected to expand, supported by acquisition contributions from the Outrigger Energy II deal [5] - Proactive tariff mitigation and disciplined cost controls may have helped preserve margins amid inflationary pressures [5] Group 4: Earnings Whisper - KMI's Earnings ESP is +20.71%, indicating a strong potential for an earnings beat [7] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a stable outlook [7] - The upcoming Q2 earnings report is anticipated to show EPS of $0.28, up 12% year over year, supported by higher gas prices and increased transport volumes [8]