特朗普欺人太甚，欧盟难得强硬：给美国5天时间，不然就反制

Core Viewpoint - Trump's announcement of a 30% tariff on goods imported from the EU starting August 1 has escalated tensions in US-EU trade relations, which were already strained [1][3]. Trade Deficit and Tariff Justification - The US has a significant trade deficit with the EU, amounting to $235.6 billion in 2024, a 12.9% increase from 2023 [3]. - Trump views this trade deficit as detrimental to the US economy and aims to reverse it through tariffs, citing EU tariffs and non-tariff barriers as key factors [3]. US Strategic Intent - The US aims to use trade pressure to reinforce its global economic dominance, seeking concessions from the EU in trade negotiations to reshape the global economic order in its favor [3]. EU's Initial Compromise and Current Stance - Initially, the EU showed willingness to compromise, suspending digital taxes on US tech giants and delaying retaliatory measures [3]. - However, in response to Trump's latest tariff threat, the EU has adopted a tougher stance, with leaders emphasizing the need to protect transatlantic supply chains and consumer interests [5][6]. EU's Potential Retaliation - The EU is prepared to impose tariffs on $210 billion worth of US products, with potential increases up to 50% [5]. - This indicates a firm resolve from the EU to not easily concede in the ongoing trade dispute [5]. Internal EU Dynamics - Internal divisions within the EU regarding trade policy have been highlighted, with some countries advocating for quick agreements to protect key industries like automotive, while others resist US pressure [6]. Economic Impact of Trade War - A potential trade war could severely impact both economies, with rising import costs for the US and reduced orders and profits for EU exporters [8][9]. - The trade conflict could disrupt global trade order and diminish international trade investment confidence, affecting global economic stability [9]. Future Outlook - The current phase is characterized by tense negotiations, with the possibility of a trade war looming if no agreement is reached before August 1 [9]. - The outcome of this trade dispute is anticipated to have significant implications for the global economic landscape [9].