Is Bristol-Myers Squibb Still An Undervalued Biopharma Play?

Core Viewpoint - Bristol-Myers Squibb is preparing to announce its Q2 2025 earnings, with expectations of adjusted earnings of $1.585 per share and sales of $11.31 billion, despite slight downward revisions in revenue and earnings estimates for 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a low-single-digit percentage increase in total revenue for the later 2020s, primarily due to updated assumptions for its cancer drug Yervoy [2][4]. - Bank of America Securities has revised the company's earnings model, showing a decline of more than 1% in total revenue and EPS for Q2, with similar trends for 2025 [3][4]. Product Performance and Market Dynamics - Key products such as Pomalyst, Revlimid, Camzyos, and Orencia are expected to face significant headwinds due to U.S. drug pricing reforms [5]. - The earnings call will focus on the commercial performance of products like Cobenfy, Camzyos, Reblozyl, and Breyanzi, which are crucial for immediate revenue streams [7][8]. Industry Challenges - The evolving landscape of U.S. drug pricing policies, including the 'most favored nation' rule and potential pharma-specific tariffs, poses systemic pressures on the pharmaceutical industry, affecting Bristol-Myers Squibb [6]. - The company is expected to face several challenging years ahead, with anticipated earnings declines driven by generic competition [10]. Valuation Insights - Bristol-Myers Squibb is considered one of the cheaper companies in large-cap biopharma, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 7 to 8 times expected 2025 earnings, comparable to peers like Pfizer, GSK, Biogen, and Merck [9].