中国外贸量稳质升，韧性凸显

Group 1 - China's exports in June recorded a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, with a cumulative growth of 5.9% in the first half of the year, supported by "rush exports" and "rush transshipments" from foreign trade enterprises [1] - Imports in June showed a slight year-on-year increase of 1.1%, while the cumulative import for the first half of the year decreased by 3.9%, primarily due to falling prices of bulk commodities and weak domestic manufacturing [1] - Key markets for China's exports include Europe, ASEAN, and Africa, with exports to the EU growing at a rate of 7.6% year-on-year in June [1][3] Group 2 - The export performance of sectors such as automobiles, semiconductor supply chains, transportation equipment, and machinery remains strong, while labor-intensive products face pressure [2] - Shipbuilding exports have shown high growth, achieving a 23.6% increase in June 2025, despite a high base in 2024 [2] - The import of bulk commodities has been a major drag, with most major imports, except for copper ore, experiencing a year-on-year price decline [2] Group 3 - The diversification of China's trade patterns is advancing, with emerging markets increasingly contributing to China's export share, while the share of exports to the US has decreased to around 12% [3] - ASEAN has become China's largest trading partner, with its share of exports rising to 17.8%, reflecting strengthened economic ties [3] - China's position in the EU import structure has remained stable, with its share around 21% since 2022, indicating stable bilateral trade relations [3] Group 4 - The structure of China's export goods is optimizing, with increasing competitiveness in high-end manufacturing products, which is expected to enhance export resilience [4] - The export share of high-end manufacturing goods, such as transportation equipment, is on the rise, while the share of textiles and miscellaneous products is declining [4] - Factors such as steady demand from emerging markets and stable trade relations with the EU are crucial for supporting China's export resilience amid global trade uncertainties [4]